Archive for 2014
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The models had it coming! Snowy in northern Sweden this morning… Jukkasjärvi Kiruna Another view of Kiruna [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] The ECMWF surface map at 24 hours shows high pressure bringing the chilly morning’s and pleasant, sunny days while low pressure and cold northerly winds on the backside bring snow to northern Sweden. It’s chilly here too […]
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ECMWF day 3-10 With strongest positive up in Canada, heights are naturally lower further south, possibly below normal in the waters off the S & E coast. That’s when you have to watch the tropics for any mischief. Here’s the latest GFS ens MJO forecast. Phase 8 into 1 favours the warm Eastern pattern […]
Simply by glancing at the recent NAO index you can see why we had the cool, wet August and warm, dry September and with the flat lining or neutral coming up, why we’ve a zonal pattern coming up. I got my first soaking rain or wet ground actually since August this morning! ECMWF surface charts […]
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Many a great winter is preceded by a warm, wet fall season and despite a low of 21 at Saranac Lake, NY on September 19th, the pattern looks warm deep into October and probably beyond. Sometimes a quick starting winter is a quick ending winter. The warm water off the East Coast and drought in West […]
Last night I put up a post on the Antarctic sea ice record and 6th lowest for the arctic. What’s significant is that the arctic has lost far LESS ice this year compared to last and that may or may not be a big deal for the upcoming winter across not just Europe but the hemisphere. […]
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