Archive for October, 2014
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A canopy of low pressure hanging overhead supplying our sunshine and shower regime will gradually clear into the Norwegian Sea later today into Sunday but look out Southern England, a low now gathering in the Bay of Biscay looks set to bring a soaking Sun evening. Winds too will be a feature. The good news is that […]
The troughs are still on the table with the first coming down this weekend into early next week while the secondary swings into the Pacific Northwest mid to late next week. ECMWF has weakened it’s intensity but has more snowfall in the mountains than the GFS which has the deeper trough. Yes, as usual, there’s confliction! Meanwhile […]
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Not the best of pics but I captured this over the Cairngorms yesterday on my drive up to Invergordon (half hour north of Inverness). Nice to see the snow again! Arctic Oscillation At It’s Lowest October Value Since 2002 Interestingly the Arctic Oscillation is now down to -4, the lowest value for October since an all-time record (for […]
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Super Typhoon Vongfong deepened to 880mb last night and this could become a top 5 strongest tropical cyclone on record. We of course had the recurve of a strong typhoon within the last 5 days and this should drive trough No 1 down the Plains EARLY next week. Models have been all over this now for […]
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There is good agreement in the models that we have a more positive height field coming up in the next week over Western Europe and this should help TEMPORARILY shut down the Atlantic storm train. Even with these -NAO/AO autumn’s, there’s almost always a respite after we see the turn to wet off a warm, predominantly […]
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