Conditions shall gradually improve across the UK in the next 36 hours but fronts will approach from both the west and east during the second half of this week. In between it should be mainly dry and sunny with warmer temperatures but rain and cloudier skies will keep both west and east coasts more unsettled and cooler.

Friday appears to be the best day of this week as fronts stay offshore of the UK and only western Ireland sees rain as the GFS has surface and upper level high pressure overhead and with fairly warm air at 5,000ft, we may see a widespread warm and mostly sunny day with highs in the 17-22C range.

Here’s the GFS surface chart out at 72 hours. Notice the rain band approaching western Scotland. That’s our next weather maker (certainly for the Northern UK anyway) towards the weekend and looks to bring quite a lot of rain to Scotland as well as cooler temperatures. Right now, England and Wales look to miss the wet weather, perhaps staying in the sunshine and warmth for much of the day Saturday.

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The ECMWF upper chart for Friday shows a ridge overhead and fairly warm 5,000ft temps.

As I showed you in last night’s post, Europe remains very messy with a heck of a lot of rain falling across a large area. Don’t be surprised if we start hearing of flood issues across the Alps and yes, even further snow.

Despite rain across Scotland during Saturday, overall the UK looks relatively quiet through the weekend.

The GFS brings another unusually deep depression across the North Atlantic early next week with another vigorous front with heavy rain associated appearing to eye the UK. Ahead of this, high pressure looks to dominate bringing a pleasant start to the new workweek with showers popping thanks to daytime heating and cool air aloft.

Here’s the GFS surface/precip chart for Monday.

Interestingly, the current GFS run holds this front back and that would provide a longer spell of good weather for the UK.

While we may have surface high pressure lingering through the first half of next week. Cool air aloft will put a lid on potential surface warming, although warming to pleasant levels. Clear skies and light winds by night will present an increased fog risk with lows dipping into single digits.

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