‘Year Without A Spring’ Is About To End For Northern Plains, But Permanently?

It’s been an incredibly cold and snowy spring across the Rockies, Central and Northern Plains and we’ve seen yet another major snow dump upwards of 18 inches on the Black Hills of South Dakota Sunday into Monday while earlier today, the Braves vs Rockies game was cancelled in Denver due to snow. More cold comes down on the backside of that low tonight and over the next few days with freezing temps expected to dive well into Texas. The GFS suggests teens over central Kansas Wednesday morning, incredible for late April.

Rapid City has seen so much snow this April that snow totals may exceed their annual average of around 40 inches.

Check out these surface temps off the GFS for Tues am over particularly the Northern Plains and Rockies.

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

Tuesday morning dawns cold across the Northern, central Plains as well as the Rockies in particular with some sub-zero lows expected over the high mountain plateaus and basins of Montana and Wyoming.

It’s Wednesday morning which looks cold all the way to central Texas where many more record lows are likely. Teens may reach central Kansas and possibly western Oklahoma while 20s make it into the Texas Panhandle.

The interior East looks set for some frosts and freezes late this week.

Here’s the GFS surface temps for Friday am.

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

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Looks like the higher elevations of the Carolinas, Tennessee and perhaps Georgia see lows drop to freezing. The mountains of West Virginia, Virginia and western Maryland may get down into the low 20s while even the urban corridor from DC north gets down near to freezing. More record lows are likely to fall widely over the Interior East Friday morning.

Notice the much milder start to Friday over the Northern Plaind and even Rockies with colder air confined to the higher elevations west of Denver.

The great news is that the milder start to Friday over the Dakotas marks the warmer weekend coming, however the very bad thing about that unfortunately is the flooding potential rockets.

Have a look at this ECMWF upper chart and 850s for Saturday.

Geopotential3250032hPa32and32Temperature32at3285032hPa_North32America_120

Sunday

Geopotential3250032hPa32and32Temperature32at3285032hPa_North32America_144

Note the warming progresses Saturday into Sunday but the GFS on Sunday suggests 70s back into snowy South Dakota with even the possibility of 70s reaching southern North Dakota.

Here’s the surface temps for Saturday pm.

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

Fargo, ND up until now has shivered with the ‘warmest’ high so far a mere 43. The average high is now 60 and by this weekend, we should finally see the first 60s but this could be disasterous for the flood situation.

How’s the CFSv2 looking over the next few weeks?

Here’s the Apr 28 through May 2

wk1_wk2_20130421_NAsfcT

May 6-12

wk3_wk4_20130421_NAsfcT

Doesn’t look particularly warm across much of the US through the first half of May except for the arid West.

May have something to do with this..

nao_sprd2

As for the exceptionally low tornado count this year. We’re on par with 2004. That year it stayed chilly all the way into June.

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