United Kingdom & Ireland
The weather remains active across the continent with an unusually deep and cold trough swinging through. A boundary draped N-S over eastern Europe triggered severe and damaging thunderstorms over western Russia, the Baltics and Ukraine yesterday. All the while low pressure and unusually cold air for July brought snowfall to the Alps while the UK catches a break of […]
Way back in the early spring I shared my thoughts on the upcoming summer and stated that when looking back at previous El Nino to La Nina transition years, the pattern does not favour warm and dry but quite the opposite. Upper anomaly through June 2016. 2m temp anomaly for July so far! This, like last […]
The UK and Ireland sits beneath a cool northwest air flow in the wake of the last Atlantic system. Ahead of the front, SW winds drove highs widely into the 30s over Spain and France with 41C reported in Cordoba once again. In fact many resorts up and down the Costas likely witnessed their hottest […]
For the past few days and even beyond, the models have suggested next weekend will be very different to this weekend across the UK. The unsettled theme shall continue through at least the first half of the upcoming week but towards next weekend, the jet and unsettled weather looks to finally lift to our north and west allowing […]
I believe the 2007 and 2012 washout summers was down to the combination both the peaking of the warm Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation and very warm North Atlantic including waters surrounding the British Isles and the onset of an El Nino. SSTA’s at the beginning of April 2007 and 2012 where exceptionally warm. Record rainfall – April to July […]
It was a very wet night here in Scotland and across England today, however, while this latest system clears east we’ve been eyeing a system which hammered the Eastern US last weekend. It’s spent the last 4-5 days crossing the Atlantic and deepening into an unusually potent July depression. This morning’s visible and infrared. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] The […]
Summers have gotten wetter for the UK thanks to the warm phase of the AMO (Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation) but when this warm phase peaks in a year when El Nino is coming on, expect record rains in the UK. Both 2007 and 2012 saw a very warm AMO and warm North Atlantic as well as an El Nino […]
With warm water stacked north of the UK, colder water extending south and west out into the north-central Atlantic, this SST provide mirrors the projected upper air pattern seen by the models next 7-10 days. A dominant Icelandic trough and strong Azores high extending east across the Med supports warmer than normal southern and eastern Europe, cooler, wetter across Ireland […]
July 2015 opened record hot, this year it’s opposite… Opening 4 days of July 2015 Opening 4 days of July 2016 June 2016 opened warm, sunny and dry following a warm, dry May but the pattern flipped to unsettled around the 10th and has remained that way. The dullest, wettest and coolest was felt across central, eastern and particularly southeastern England […]
While the UK remains disappointed and stuck beneath an unsettled Atlantic flow, the heat is on further south with full blown heat wave conditions being felt over Spain. Yesterday’s satellite imagery revealed near peninsula wide clear sky. Yesterday AM temps started off VERY TOASTY indeed and this usually indicates a very hot day ahead. That was […]
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