With warm water stacked north of the UK, colder water extending south and west out into the north-central Atlantic, this SST provide mirrors the projected upper air pattern seen by the models next 7-10 days.

A dominant Icelandic trough and strong Azores high extending east across the Med supports warmer than normal southern and eastern Europe, cooler, wetter across Ireland and UK with back and fourth in between (SE England, France).

This morning’s visible and water vapour images reveal the conga line of Atlantic low pressure extending from the Faroes to Bermuda with Iceland, Scotland and Northern Ireland in it’s sights.

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GFS Atlantic surface nicely reflects this morning’s visible and infrared imagery.

This pattern certainly supports plenty of heat across much of Europe thanks to large southerly wind field pushing air up from Africa.

Yesterday’s minimum/maximum

We have the next Atlantic system spreading wind and rain across northern Ireland/UK today.

Another sweeps through Friday…

Then we deal with the very feature which brought a lot of heavy rain and storms to the Eastern US on July 4th which winds into a North Atlantic beast.

This thing could bring unusually strong winds to Ireland and UK this weekend as well as the heavy rain.

See today’s video.

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