United Kingdom & Ireland
We’ve a highly amplified pattern to end April over Europe with deep trough drilling south supporting snow in Spain while a downstream upper ridge is pumping summer heat into Italy, Balkans, Greece and Turkey. Two new national records have been set in the Balkans. The pool of unusual cool with deep surface low tracking north […]
We’ve not one but two pretty deep lows by late April standards set to attack southern England, the first at the beginning of the weekend and the second, deeper system at the end of it. The first is bringing wet and windy conditions into southern England and Wales later today/tonight. The late weekend/Monday system is […]
It’s been an interesting month and an interesting reversal in fortune. April started cool to downright cold with the 4th seeing several Scottish towns/cities witness their coldest April day including the coldest April day in 80 years for Edinburgh. Heavy snow and tricky travel accompanied the cold air. https://twitter.com/SeanBattySTV/status/981849155655143430 https://twitter.com/SeanBattySTV/status/981851087354384385 March turned out 3rd coldest […]
The very areas which suffered the cold and snowy March are now dealing with record April heat thanks to an abrupt shift in wind direction. Even early April got off to a cold, even snowy start and so this switch from winter to summer is probably about as fast as you’ll ever see. Many cities […]
When producing a seasonal forecast I like to look at several global and regional factors/players. They include the current and projected state of the ENSO index (El Nino Southern Oscillation index), global SST’s and particularly for summer, soil moisture content and rainfall distribution. Of course I also like to look back at previous years which […]
We knew it was coming but I must admit I didn’t expect this warm. It’s amazing how quickly a pattern can flip around given the cool first half to April. The BBC’s latest numbers for the Greater London area is up at 28C. If hit, it would be the UK’s warmest April day since 1949. […]
Thanks to a fairly persistent east, southeast air flow during early April, we’ve had quite the extremes on both ends of the precipitation and sunshine ledger in Scotland this month. In fact the driest, wettest, dullest and sunniest places so far this April have all been in Scotland. After observing it’s coldest April day on […]
After a disastrous spring last year with a mild and snowless end to winter, it’s quite the opposite this year. Scotland lost all of it’s snow by the end of summer for the first time since 2006, I don’t think that’s going to happen this year. Here’s an article that will cheer many, especially economically. […]
While it noticeably warms up this week with many seeing their first 21C of the year, the models are suggesting the return of cooler than normal towards the end of April into May. The CFSv2 correctly shows a very warm continent through the upcoming 7 days with mid to upper 20s over parts of Poland, […]
I went for a walk into the the Drumochter Hills on Tuesday to bag another couple of munros. To the east of the A9 and just south of Dalwhinnie, I discovered huge snow drifts tucked within the narrow Coire nan Cisteachan gully between Carn na Caim and A’Bhuidheanach Bheag. So I went in for a closer […]
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