United Kingdom & Ireland
When producing a seasonal forecast I like to look at several global and regional factors/players. They include the current and projected state of the ENSO index (El Nino Southern Oscillation index), global SST’s and particularly for summer, soil moisture content and rainfall distribution. Of course I also like to look back at previous years which […]
We knew it was coming but I must admit I didn’t expect this warm. It’s amazing how quickly a pattern can flip around given the cool first half to April. The BBC’s latest numbers for the Greater London area is up at 28C. If hit, it would be the UK’s warmest April day since 1949. […]
Thanks to a fairly persistent east, southeast air flow during early April, we’ve had quite the extremes on both ends of the precipitation and sunshine ledger in Scotland this month. In fact the driest, wettest, dullest and sunniest places so far this April have all been in Scotland. After observing it’s coldest April day on […]
After a disastrous spring last year with a mild and snowless end to winter, it’s quite the opposite this year. Scotland lost all of it’s snow by the end of summer for the first time since 2006, I don’t think that’s going to happen this year. Here’s an article that will cheer many, especially economically. […]
While it noticeably warms up this week with many seeing their first 21C of the year, the models are suggesting the return of cooler than normal towards the end of April into May. The CFSv2 correctly shows a very warm continent through the upcoming 7 days with mid to upper 20s over parts of Poland, […]
I went for a walk into the the Drumochter Hills on Tuesday to bag another couple of munros. To the east of the A9 and just south of Dalwhinnie, I discovered huge snow drifts tucked within the narrow Coire nan Cisteachan gully between Carn na Caim and A’Bhuidheanach Bheag. So I went in for a closer […]
It sure felt raw in the easterly breeze as I walked my kids to nursery both at 8am and 1pm today. The current wind direction and pressure pattern is very similar to late February/March but there’s big differences too. The easterly of 35 days ago came straight from Siberia and froze Europe en-route to the […]
We’ve a nagging ESE flow this week with plenty of showers piling into the eastern UK with sun and April showers dominating further west. As we head into late week, the weekend and next week, the modelling shows a building of heights across the N UK which indicates a much more stable setup with mild […]
It’s been a remarkable second half to winter and beginning of spring for Scotland. Following the coldest February since 2010 with Braemar recording it’s coldest daytime maximum in February, both March and April opened extreme with the TWO beast from the easts setting new monthly snow and cold records. Cities including Glasgow experienced their coldest […]
Yesterday was not your typical early April day across Scotland. With daytime temps hovering at 1 to 3C during the mid and late afternoon accompanied by a near daylong snowfall which saw a coating to as much as 6 inches accumulate above 100 metres. Yesterday’s big contrast between a cold Scotland and mild England and […]
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