United Kingdom & Ireland
A strong ‘atmospheric boulder’ of high pressure positioned from Azores to Arctic created an atmospheric traffic jam over recent days and presented an unusual temperature profile. This highly amplified, omega block located west of Scotland forced subtropical air into the arctic circle and arctic air south back across Europe. Here was the 500mb setup back […]
The CFSv2 weeklies continue to show a blowtorch for Europe next 2-3 weeks, it simply sees ‘no cold’. Despite the +AO/NAO and ‘lack of winter’ now over Western Europe, there’s still plenty of residual cold floating within the mid latitudes in the wake of the strat warm. The CFSv2 (as usual) no longer sees any […]
With the AO heading for strong positive along with collisions of polar and tropical air over east Asia and North America, so we see extended zonal jets strengthening over both Pacific and Atlantic oceans. Goodbye arctic high pressure and hello the lows dancing around the pole! Check out the 969 low near the pole. Just […]
February 2021 was a wild, extreme and historic month with a one of the most abrupt mid-month flips on record. The UK among other European continents endured one of it’s greatest monthly temperature swings on record. From -23C to 18.4C within 2 weeks. That’s an impressive 41.4C. Despite a record to near record warm 2nd […]
Winter 2020-21 will likely go down as a cold winter overall for the Northern UK, Northern Europe, Scandinavia, Russia, Mongolia and northern China. Warm across Southern Europe and perhaps Canada and even the USA despite the incoming cold now. For the UK, despite a warmer than normal December, January was coldest since 2010 (but by […]
Focus of heavy snowfall has shifted from Scotland to SE England this weekend as low pressure drops south and high pressure drifts east from Iceland to Scandinavia. The building high and south descending low opens the door to polar-continental air and it will only grow colder as we progress through the next 48 hours. Significant […]
It’s been an interesting winter so far with frequent spells of snow and frost, albeit frustrating across southern Britain. However, following a colder than normal January for at least the northern UK (near normal for south) and prospects of a cold to very cold February, the 2020-21 winter may in fact wind up below normal […]
Although located well to the north of the British mainland, Shetland is more known for it’s frequent winter gales rather than bitter cold, however this wild and picturesque group of islands has been stuck under an arctic air mass for much of January and on the morning of January 27, the far north community of […]
In the past week, there’s been frequent spells of rain, sleet and snow as cold air has continued to advance south over Scotland and the UK. Most of Scotland and many parts of England, Wales and Northern Ireland have woken to a fresh covering of snow thanks to a cold front diving south, followed by […]
Following a warm, wet November, December was a mixed, somewhat bookend month with cool spell to start and finish and mild in between. It remained very wet and followed a very wet autumn. The polar vortex was strong to near record strong during November hence the often warm, wet and windy month. Through December, the […]

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