Summer 2015
Check this out… big flip with the newer run of the Jamstec for the June-August period. It’s now hinting at wetter than normal and solidly cooler than normal for the UK, Ireland and Western Europe but warmer than normal down over much of Iberia. It had the opposite back on April 1st. This now falls in line with […]
The very dry pattern continues through the week ahead but change is on the way towards the end of the work week. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Following a dry February-March and now April pattern (potentially one of the driest), I believe change coming in May but it’s actually when that change occurs to a wetter theme very […]
Back in March 2012 I was led into a false sense of security. After a disappointing winter 2011-12 which was unusually cold over Europe, was rather mild here in the UK. We ended up experiencing the warmest March on record here in Scotland with three straight days of all-time record warmth. Each day was warmer than […]
On the road but here’s a few thoughts on the upcoming hurricane season. Straight up… the warm PDO with strengthening El Nino (becoming a basin-wide event), cold AMO signal DOES NOT favour a big 2015 season, however that’s when looking BASIN-WIDE. Total numbers are likely to be below normal but this doesn’t tell the whole […]
This seasonal outlook for the upcoming Summer of 2015 for the United States is based on past and current pattern and influences of current and projected sea surface temperatures and El Nino. For the past two straight winter seasons, a warmer than normal 2-metre temperature pattern has resided from California across to Arizona up the West side of North America […]
This seasonal outlook for the upcoming Summer of 2015 for Europe is based on past and current pattern and influences of current and projected sea surface temperatures, El Nino and current state of solar cycle 24. While the UK experienced only 41% average rainfall during March, the increase in rainfall and therefore soil moisture during the later of […]
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