Seasonal Forecasts
The past three Halloween’s have turned out very mild for the UK with 2016 seeing the warmest on record for Wales with a ridiculous high of 22C. As for Guy Fawkes night, last year was mild, wet and windy but this year shall be opposite and more typical of what you’d expect. Rather than the SW winds of […]
Published Nov 3 2016 06:16 PM EDT weather.com Story Highlights Days of record heat have baked parts of the Plains, South, Ohio Valley and mid-Atlantic this week. All-time November record-high temperatures were tied or broken Tuesday-Thursday. There is some “relief” ahead late this week. A fall heat wave smashing not only hundreds of daily records, […]
Snowfall has been relentlessly sweeping west from far eastern Asia to Northern Europe over the past 4 weeks and it’s knocking on the door of the UK as we head towards the weekend. We now have a hemispheric snow cover equivalent to early January rather than early November as you can see below. Snowfall is well […]
Today’s winter forecast is based on all current global atmospheric/oceanic drivers in place, their current status and model projection. Following the record tying strongest El Nino in history last winter in which global temperature has been at record levels for some 16 months as a consequence, the ENSO is back NEUTRAL although record warmth is still be […]
Today’s winter forecast is based on all current global atmospheric/oceanic drivers in place, their current status and model projection. Following the record tying strongest El Nino in history last winter in which global temperature has been at record levels for some 16 months as a consequence, the ENSO is back NEUTRAL although record warmth is still be […]
At the beginning of October, 2016 I reattempted the climb of Aonach Mor in the Nevis Range following a failed summit attempt back in January 2016. Deep snow stopped me from reaching beyond the weather station but I was determined to make it this time around. Like back in January, I managed to get great views and great […]
Latest from Dr Judah Cohen (Follow on Twitter @judah47 ) Arctic Oscillation and Polar Vortex Analysis and Forecasts Source: http://www.aer.com/science-research/climate-weather/arctic-oscillation October 26, 2016 Special blog on winter retrospective can be found here – http://www.aer.com/winter2016 Dr. Judah Cohen from Atmospheric and Environmental Research (AER) recently embarked on an experimental process of regular research, review, and analysis of the Arctic Oscillation (AO). This […]
The endless summer pattern steps out of October and into November, reinforced by a polar vortex split which favours a cold Eurasia but continued warm Lower 48. For the East, this October, like September and August will go down as one of the warmest and warmest on record for some. Having 1 of 2 pieces of the polar vortex […]
We’re reaching the end of October and that means Halloween of course. It’s interesting when looking back at just how up and down this period can be. Even in the typically mild Southeast of England, we’ve seen quite the variety of weather around Halloween. The recent trend has been mild, outstandingly mild at that with […]

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