Seasonal Forecasts

WED 16 AUG: VOGAN’S EURO OUTLOOK

Written by on August 16, 2017 in Summer 2017, Videos with 0 Comments
WED 16 AUG: VOGAN’S EURO OUTLOOK

US: It’s been a very cool 1st half to August, but is it likely to continue?

Written by on August 15, 2017 in Summer 2017, United States of America with 0 Comments
US: It’s been a very cool 1st half to August, but is it likely to continue?

There’s no question, it’s been a cool or very cool 1st half to August for the majority of the Lower 48 especially from Denver to New York as seen from the below temp anomaly map. Question is can we pull back summer before entering fall? CFSv2 weeklies indicate building warmth across the Northern Tier weeks […]

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TUE 15 AUG: VOGAN’S US OUTLOOK

Written by on August 15, 2017 in Summer 2017, Videos with 0 Comments
TUE 15 AUG: VOGAN’S US OUTLOOK

25C becomes UK’s warmest day in what’s been a very cool 1st half to August

Written by on August 15, 2017 in Rest of Europe, Summer 2017, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
25C becomes UK’s warmest day in what’s been a very cool 1st half to August

It’s been a month dominated by low pressure and a jet stream positioned to the south of the UK. So, following rain bearing weather fronts, it’s been a largely sunshine and shower regime with winds primarily WNW. Yesterday’s 25C (77F) became the UK’s warmest of August so far. We saw a mixed bag of weather […]

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Harvey may quickly follow Gert as tropics liven up, MJO supports busy times ahead!

Written by on August 14, 2017 in Summer 2017, Tropical, United States of America with 0 Comments
Harvey may quickly follow Gert as tropics liven up, MJO supports busy times ahead!

The tropics are lighting up with potentially the season’s 2nd hurricane and 8th named storm within the next 24 hours. Thanks to a cold front exiting the East Coast, Tropical Storm Gert shall remain a fish storm and pose no direct threat on the US but indirect impacts include increased surf and rip currents on […]

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Recurving Gert could bring return of summer to Northwest Europe

Written by on August 14, 2017 in Rest of Europe, Summer 2017, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
Recurving Gert could bring return of summer to Northwest Europe

Your well aware of how poor and repetative our weather pattern has become in recent weeks and even in recent days I pointed out the importance of the Tropical Atlantic waking up and it’s role in potentially resetting the mid latitude pattern. Gert has formed east of Florida and shall ride the western flank of […]

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MON 14 AUG: VOGAN’S EURO OUTLOOK

Written by on August 14, 2017 in Summer 2017, Videos with 0 Comments
MON 14 AUG: VOGAN’S EURO OUTLOOK

Seattle experiences driest summer on record, sets new record with 52 rainless days!

Written by on August 12, 2017 in Summer 2017, United States of America with 0 Comments
Seattle experiences driest summer on record, sets new record with 52 rainless days!

Despite being in the midst of an above normal water year, Seattle is witnessing it’s driest summer on record with day after day of hot smoke filled air. The city has comfortably set a new record with 52 days without measurable rain. The lack of rainfall has aided in providing Seattle with it’s hottest opening […]

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W EUROPE: Any sign of change into 2nd half of August from cool, unsettled theme?

Written by on August 12, 2017 in Rest of Europe, Summer 2017, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
W EUROPE: Any sign of change into 2nd half of August from cool, unsettled theme?

It’s been a noticeably disappointing first half to August over Ireland, British Isles and near continent even extending as far south as France and northern Iberia. In stark contrast to a well below normal opening 10 days for UK, N France, it’s been a well above normal open over Italy and the Balkans. August’s 2m […]

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Alaska’s Brooks Range and North Slope prepare for first significant snow

Written by on August 11, 2017 in Summer 2017, United States of America with 0 Comments
Alaska’s Brooks Range and North Slope prepare for first significant snow

Snow is not uncommon during the month of August in Alaska’s high elevations and this weekend looks to see the first significant snowfall over primarily the North slope and Brooks range in the north of the state. A low is currently developing along the tail of a southbound cold front and this opens the door […]

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