Seasonal Forecasts
Tired of the wet weather? The good news is next week is looking good and probably will bring the most sustained spell of dry weather since April. Unfortunately if it’s summer warmth your looking for your going to be disappointed. The strong high building in off the Atlantic isn’t particularly warm by June standards and the […]
What a turnaround! Following a very warm, dry May, June has started off record cool and wet across the Northeast. Boston has seen not one but two days in a row where the thermometer has failed to reach 50. You have to go all the way back to 1945 for the last time that’s occurred […]
Well the much anticipated and well earned surge of summer late this week appears to be shorter and less intense than first seen by the models. We saw this in May and it’s happening again in June. Why might that be? WET GROUND and COLD NORTH ATLANTIC. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Just look at how much that cold water is […]
This is a very PROGRESSIVE US pattern. Notice in the below day 0-15 how the ridges and troughs move along. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] The ECMWF has the MJO influence on the US picking up as it crosses from 1 into 2 and eventually 3. These are progressive phases. Check out the Baja on the GFS! Potential for increased flood potential […]
There’s no question, it looked and felt more like late November or early December out there yesterday with a howling, cold wind along with heavy and persistent rain. Thank or blame an unusually deep, sub-980mb low which originated over Greenland days earlier. An abnormally cold Atlantic between Greenland and the UK likely helped maintain some of the low’s […]
Hello to meteorological summer of 2015… The pattern this month looks to be shaping up to be a very progressive one with warm surges coming and going only to be replaced by cool shots dropping out of Canada. Change is on the offing for the dry Eastern Seaboard while it’s finally heating up over the Desert Southwest […]
Summer is here… However, despite it being June 1 and officially summer now, it won’t look or feel like summer anywhere in the UK or Ireland today as a gale centre whips in potentially disruptive wind and rain later today into Tuesday. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] For a time, a belt of strong WSW winds may cause isolated issues […]
There’s quite the contrast currently between the Upper Midwest and East Coast. Both in very different air masses right now. Cool, dry Canadian air has allowed temps to fall into the 20s this morning from Minnesota into Michigan’s UP while it’s a summery 70s up the East Coast following daytime mid to upper 80s yesterday. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] The immediate EC […]
Today marks the final day of May and spring 2015. We end the season on a cool, wet note after a drier, warmer than normal start (March-April). Early stats from the Met Office show that rainfall for May was 131% of normal. The May average was 0.8C below normal. We commence meteorological summer 2015 tomorrow […]
As we well know, May have been rather wet and therefore cool over the Plains but models show the cool/wet area expanding eastwards in June. Soggy May’s in strengthening El Nino years often are a precursor to a cool, damp summer overall and we’re seeing that trend as we head into summer’s opening month with only regional […]
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