Seasonal Forecasts

GFS refuses to give up on a ‘white Christmas’ for parts of Scotland

GFS refuses to give up on a ‘white Christmas’ for parts of Scotland

We know a wet and windy system shall sweep across the UK late Christmas Eve/Day but the big question remains, will there be a white Christmas? At this moment in time, we do know SOME PLACES, particularly higher up, have a good shot but how much area and to how low in elevation do we […]

Continue Reading

US January 2018 Outlook

US January 2018 Outlook

Up until now it’s been a very mild December in a SSE corridor stretching from Alaska to Arkansas. The opening 10 days of the month was most unusual with a record breaking snow event from Brownsville, TX all the way along the Gulf Coast and points inland across the South to the Florida Panhandle. https://twitter.com/weatherchannel/status/943839984762552320 https://twitter.com/AllisonChinchar/status/939491004339671042 Snow […]

Continue Reading

Europe January 2018 Outlook

Europe January 2018 Outlook

Up until Sunday of last weekend we had a pretty decent spell of winter but as is often the case, it doesn’t last forever and we’re now back in the mild, mucky Atlantic flow. Our cold spell brought some cold nights with Dalwhinnie and Shawbury registering a minimum of -13C and spectacular days such as this […]

Continue Reading

Alaska hits 60F in warmest December on record

Alaska hits 60F in warmest December on record

December 2017 has been described by the NWS as an ‘exceptionally mild’ month throughout Alaska. The major cities of Anchorage, Juneau and now Fairbanks are witnessing their warmest December on record, among countless other places. According to climatologist Brian Brettschneider, Fairbanks is running an astonishing 20 above normal for the first 20 days of December […]

Continue Reading

Majority of UK likely to witness ‘Brown Christmas’ but snow chances increase 27-29th

Majority of UK likely to witness ‘Brown Christmas’ but snow chances increase 27-29th

Here’s a glance at the latest model output for Christmas Day. Note the good agreement with low coming in across central Scotland, starting dry in south, wet in north with snow confined to north of the Central Belt. Models will continue to shift and alter over the next few days but it looks like 95%+ […]

Continue Reading

UK Christmas Extremes & Snow Stats

UK Christmas Extremes & Snow Stats

The below article is courtesy of the Met Office When was the warmest Christmas day? The warmest temperature recorded on Christmas day in the UK is 15.6 °C recorded in Killerton, Devon in 1920. Max temperature (°C) England 15.6 °C at Killerton, Devon in 1920 Northern Ireland 14.8 °C at Belfast Newforge in 2016 Scotland […]

Continue Reading

Coldest US-wide Christmas since 2000, locally since 1996?

Coldest US-wide Christmas since 2000, locally since 1996?

As arctic air begins to filter into Montana, Wyoming, Colorado late this week, warmth remains across the South and Southeast setting the stage for a pre-Christmas system to run in-between. The warmth should hold right up through Saturday, even Christmas Eve before the hammer comes down. AHEAD of the system, mild fights on and even […]

Continue Reading

Tuesday AM hosts balmy 15C in Highland vs chilly -4C southern England

Tuesday AM hosts balmy 15C in Highland vs chilly -4C southern England

We had a pretty impressive upside down temperature profile over the UK this morning. 15C at Cassley in Northwest Highland (average is 7C) vs -4C at Frittenden, Kent and Bournemouth. Southeast England started the day cold and frosty in clear, calm conditions beneath the high while the Northwest Highlands was positioned on the windier outer […]

Continue Reading

Two Florida panhandle snow events in the same month?

Two Florida panhandle snow events in the same month?

Remember this back on Dec 8… https://twitter.com/weatheroptics/status/939625848310829056 MAJOR arctic trough makes it all the way to the Gulf Coast Christmas day. Check out the latest GFS snowfall forecast through 192 hours. According to the GFS, this snow event is bang on Christmas day… yes we know it’ll shift around and could well pull away from […]

Continue Reading

Turning the page to a milder theme… White or brown Christmas?

Turning the page to a milder theme… White or brown Christmas?

While we’ve enjoyed plenty of cold, crisp, bright winter days through much of the month so far, a milder theme is beginning to show, particularly for northern and western areas thanks to high pressure positioned over southern UK and near continent. Winds blowing around the W/N flank of the high is drawing in the milder […]

Continue Reading

Top