Seasonal Forecasts
While conditions have been pleasantly tranquil across Northern Europe, it’s been turbulent across a broad swathe of the Mediterranean of late. A strong blocking high has re-dirtected the typical storm track south and when you’ve got cold core lows coming off a colder than normal Atlantic into a warm, humid sub-tropical region where a large body […]
Thanks to a pretty deep trough driving into the Northern Plains, a July-like heat pump has been forcing the hottest September air in 32 years up through the Northeast. The last time it was hotter than yesterday at this time of year, I was just 7 months old. Yesterday was also the hottest day of the year for New York and […]
In the last week, the upper pattern is been pretty much opposite of the summer with a blocking high across the north while low pressure has run underneath. The system which brought the flash flooding to parts of Spain last weekend is now crossing the Mediterranean producing very active weather over Sardinia, Sicily, Italy and eventually […]
Well it may have taken till autumn but the hottest temperatures of the year have arrived in the Northeast. Today not just represents the hottest day of summer for NYC but 5th 90+ for Sept and most since 1983. NYC also sits in 3rd place for most 70+ degree nights since 1950. Boston’s 96 is […]
While heat has been the main story throughout this summer across Europe, it’s storms that’s now taking centre stage. The upper air pattern is one similar to the last two July’s and opposite the past June-August period with strongest heights extending from the Atlantic across the UK into Scandinavia. Here’s the current upper setup. Lower heights […]
A very brief post this evening. Taking a particular interest in New York. Some records broken or tied on this Labor Day. An all-time record consecutive 80+F days continues. Interesting this Labor Day is about 20 degrees warmer than on July 4th. A look back at past Labor Days. Think the 65 day stretch of […]
From Met Office The following represents an assessment of the weather experienced across the UK during Summer 2015 (June, July and August) and how it compares with the 1981 to 2010 average. Summer 2015 was mostly characterized by a cool, westerly Atlantic flow with the UK often under the influence of low pressure systems; eastern […]
September sure has gotten off to an extreme start on both ends of the temperature ledger with record cool in the Pacific Northwest while it’s been record warm over the Plains through Great Lakes up into Canada. Pretty much opposite of summer. Yesterday was one of those extreme days. 20 below verses 20 above within a […]
Long range forecasting is often seen to be impossible and laughed at. However it’s predictable if you know what your looking for. Some years I struggle and get it wrong, other years like 2015, I get it right. The lessons learned from 2012 have certainly paid off this year. Right or wrong, here you get […]
There’s a lot on the playing field at the moment with major heat more suited to July 5 and not September 5 from the Plains to East Coast at the same time a winter-like storm system is bringing cold and mountain snow to the interior Northwest, severe weather to the Upper Midwest. Out in the Pacific, not one but two decaying tropical […]
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