Seasonal Forecasts
Thought I would quickly take a look back at January and how it played out across Europe and the UK. As you can see from the below graphics 2016’s opening month was ended up warmer as well as wetter than normal. Largely down to the strong El Nino, we’ve seen temps climb as high as […]
A surprise and sneaky coastal snow event has brought a 2-4, locally 6 inch snowfall from eastern Virginia up through New York and 6-8, locally 10-12 inches over parts of Connecticut and Massachusetts. This comes on the heels of abnormal warmth which sent temps over western Mass to 64 degrees just yesterday. Yesterday’s temperature anomaly. […]
The first in the next series of Atlantic lows is now pushing over the UK with wind and rain and this sets the tone for turbulent weekend and start to next week. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] A cold upper trough is expanding over the NE Atlantic/Western Europe and lows will rotate around the trough bringing several hits of […]
Although there’s no true sign of an NAO flip back to negative, the AO is tanking in response to the stratospheric warming and so we’;; see a southward dip in a still strong jet stream next week. This does make a difference and a colder pattern. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Although most want to see the big […]
All evidence of last weekend’s historic snowstorm/blizzard is fading away today over the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast thanks to a surge of heavy rain and temps 10-20 above normal. Last weekend snowfall. Now Anything that remains is likely to disappear over the next 36 hours as the big storm that’s hammered the Plains with snow and wind and floods, severe weather over the […]
As we enter the Feb 5-10th period, it doesn’t look as though we truly loose the Atlantic influence but it does appear we turn our mean flow from west to northwest with lows still impacting but with colder air which increases the chance of snow to increasingly low levels. The GFS operational does show a […]
As advertised, we have blizzard conditions on the Plains while flooding rains and increased risk for tornadoes grows this afternoon into this evening south the Mid-South. Nice mild surge up the East Coast while colder air follows in the wake of the storm. As we look ahead in the weekend, next week and beyond, we […]
In the wake of wicked storm Henry which produced 100 mph winds on the exposed but low lying Tay Road Bridge and 149 mph over Cairngorm Summit Monday, northerly winds on the depression’s rear has helped force exceptionally cold air within the lower stratosphere (50,000+ feet) with the southern extension of the polar vortex dropping down over the UK. Clear, cold […]
If you live anywhere from the Central Lowlands northward, prepare for storm to hurricane-force gusts from 5pm onwards today. There’s widespread travel disruption already with some lorries being blown over and a gust of 84 mph forcing the complete closure of the Forth Rd Bridge. Earlier visible satellite view. Midday update 2pm update Expect a particularly […]
It’s all eyes on a major storm system pushing into California over the next 24 hours. Lot’s of rain, wind and snow can be expected but so too can flooding and mudslides. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Once the system crosses the southern Rockies, ingredients of cold, dry, warm and wet come together to produce a major snowstorm/blizzard from […]
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