Seasonal Forecasts

18.7C At Braemar, -5.6C At Katesbridge, It Must Be March

18.7C At Braemar, -5.6C At Katesbridge, It Must Be March

We’re at a seasonal cross roads, a time when the atmosphere wants to hold onto winter in the high latitudes but become summer in the low latitudes. The mid latitudes are in the battle zone between winter and summer. March is a fickle month, a month which can produce low 20s C as far north as Scotland like we […]

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ECMWF Going For DC To Boston Snowstorm Glory!

Written by on March 17, 2016 in United States of America, Winter 2015/16 with 0 Comments
ECMWF Going For DC To Boston Snowstorm Glory!

As shown in this morning’s video, the potential appears to be on the rise for a major early spring snowstorm up the I-95 corridor Sunday into Monday. Several factors need close monitoring throughout the Friday-Saturday as well as Sunday period. the supply of colder air Today’s system pushes through the Northeast bringing a slow drop […]

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Spring Has Sprung Over UK While Scandinavia, Russia, Ukraine Descend Back Into Winter

Spring Has Sprung Over UK While Scandinavia, Russia, Ukraine Descend Back Into Winter

UPDATE: While it’s a cold, cloudy 6C this afternoon in Aberdeen and just 4C in places, just 50 miles to the west and with sunny skies it’s an early summer-like 18.6C currently in Braemar. Today mark’s the UK’s warmest of 2016 to date! As you can see in the below visible satellite, there’s a lot […]

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Midwest Wind/Snow System Then East Coast System, Snowstorm, No Snowstorm?

Written by on March 16, 2016 in United States of America, Winter 2015/16 with 0 Comments
Midwest Wind/Snow System Then East Coast System, Snowstorm, No Snowstorm?

Lot’s of uncertainty as we head into the weekend but before we get there we have a major storm system to deal with over the Upper Midwest. Rain, local severe weather on it’s leading edge but strong to potentially damaging wind along with heavy snow on it’s rear may bring blizzard conditions to the western […]

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Blocking High To Retrograde West Opening Door To Late Season Arctic Blast For Eastern Europe

Blocking High To Retrograde West Opening Door To Late Season Arctic Blast For Eastern Europe

The North Sea is at it’s coldest of the year and when you’ve an omega blocking high centred over the Norwegian Sea, it tends to be cold, cloudy and breezy down the East Coast of the UK but opposite in the west. When wind blows off a large body of water this time of year, air temperature […]

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Cooler Times Ahead Following Warmest 1st Half To March On Record For Central US

Written by on March 15, 2016 in United States of America, Winter 2015/16 with 0 Comments
Cooler Times Ahead Following Warmest 1st Half To March On Record For Central US

It’s been a record warm first half to March 2016 down the Plains. This is in stark contrast to March 2014 which was coldest on record for the very same area. March 1-14, 2016 March 2014 Interesting to see that winter 2016 saw the lowest sea level pressure over Alaska and Wisconsin. Colder air filters SSE […]

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Classic March High Pressure Pattern, Big Temp Swings, Variability

Classic March High Pressure Pattern, Big Temp Swings, Variability

Strong, well stacked high pressure from surface to upper atmosphere at this time of year means near perfect visibility and highly contrasting temperature fluctuation and variability. Check out these great images from space yesterday. These clear skies made for great view of the Highlands yesterday. I captured this shot yesterday evening in Fort William. Aonach […]

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Wet March Puts Disappointing Northern California Rainy Season Above Normal

Written by on March 14, 2016 in United States of America, Winter 2015/16 with 0 Comments
Wet March Puts Disappointing Northern California Rainy Season Above Normal

A good start to the rainy season in November-December gave way to a disappointing heart of the rainy season in January-February with drier and warmer than normal conditions. However, the latest series of March storms to slam California has meant San Francisco’s rainy season has went from below to above normal and snowfall in the Sierra is above normal unlike the previous 4 […]

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Weakening El Nino And Seasonal Transition Means A Drier Pattern For Western Europe

Weakening El Nino And Seasonal Transition Means A Drier Pattern For Western Europe

Change is in the wind as we progress from winter and edge ever closer to summer 2016. I doubt the second half of spring 2016 (April-May) will be anywhere near as soggy as last year given the El Nino is weakening, not strengthening. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] We’re seeing the other side to this El Nino now with a drier, […]

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Next Big Storm Slams West Coast, Eastern Warmth Eases As Models Hint Snowstorm

Written by on March 13, 2016 in United States of America, Winter 2015/16 with 0 Comments
Next Big Storm Slams West Coast, Eastern Warmth Eases As Models Hint Snowstorm

After some brief respite, the next big system slams the West Coast today spreading wind, rain and heavy mountain snow in. Back on Thursday, San Francisco woke to this! Wow! To this today! (San Fran Intl Airport) Very nice visible satellite and infrared animation shows twin lows pushing into NA’s West Coast with rich moisture streaming into Northern California underneath. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] […]

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