Seasonal Forecasts
There’s a lot of weather to speak of across the Lower 48 at this time. From a blizzard which shut down Denver International Airport to late spring 70s in Pennsylvania this afternoon to an ice storm just across the lake in Ontario. Thankfully the weather does turn somewhat less eventful as we head into the Easter weekend. In […]
Gone is our high pressure dominated pattern which lasted the best part of two weeks. It seems typical that we’re back beneath the trough and frequent spells of wind, rain and at times hill snow just as we head into the Easter weekend. The vast low taking up most of the North Atlantic is clearly visible in this morning’s satellite and […]
We continue to see a very active Pacific pattern crossing the country and with colder air seeping into the Northern Tier, these systems have a very snowy side on their rear and severe side out ahead. Simply skipping through the next 240 hours off the GFS alone, there is clearly a focus between Denver and Madison, WI […]
Our nice prolonged dry spell is drawing to a close as our beloved high continues to deflate. Fronts are creeping into Irish and UK airspace in weak form but this is laying the ground for more significant wind and rain producers starting tomorrow. As the high deflates in the west, so the trough and cold is weakening in […]
Winter 2015-16 undoubtedly was dominated by this years record tying El Nino with such warmth during December, this essentially shaped the rest of the cold season. The warmth dwarfed any real cold and even the historic Northeast snowstorm in January and historic cold outbreak in February for many, is long forgotten about. What’s been one of the most […]
The warming trend of the stratosphere in recent weeks is casting a shadow over spring 2016 and by that I mean there’s unlikely to be a sudden summer with lingering cool well into April, possibly extending into May. A cold mid and upper atmosphere and warming surface may increase convective shower activity with heavy downpours of rain, hail and […]
Well the snow system which is whitening a region from Virginia to New England must have been the toughest to forecast this year. The difference and models and back and forth made it a nightmare. It may well be spring but the calendar often doesn’t reflect the weather pattern this time of year. Some beautiful images […]
For the best part of 10 days, high pressure has been dominating the Northwest weather pattern, supplying us with a sustained dry period which has allowed substantial drying out of our saturated ground. It seems typical that our weather is changing just ahead of the Easter weekend. Quite the thermal contrast across the continent yesterday. […]
The UK and Ireland’s longest dry spell since probably last September continues but you’ll have noticed an increase in cloud cover thanks to our high repositioning and therefore drawing moister air in from the Atlantic. Still, where sun shines (central and southern Scotland today), it’s pleasantly mild at 10-15C but as you well know, under […]
The southern is getting fired up this afternoon with a fairly widespread severe threat stretching from west Texas to the Florida Panhandle while on it’s northern edge, it’s bringing a tricky, snowy commute from Denver east into west Kansas and north into Cheyenne, WY. Within 36 hours the energy and moisture is lifting up into […]
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