Autumn 2017

US January 2018 Outlook

US January 2018 Outlook

Up until now it’s been a very mild December in a SSE corridor stretching from Alaska to Arkansas. The opening 10 days of the month was most unusual with a record breaking snow event from Brownsville, TX all the way along the Gulf Coast and points inland across the South to the Florida Panhandle. https://twitter.com/weatherchannel/status/943839984762552320 https://twitter.com/AllisonChinchar/status/939491004339671042 Snow […]

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Europe January 2018 Outlook

Europe January 2018 Outlook

Up until Sunday of last weekend we had a pretty decent spell of winter but as is often the case, it doesn’t last forever and we’re now back in the mild, mucky Atlantic flow. Our cold spell brought some cold nights with Dalwhinnie and Shawbury registering a minimum of -13C and spectacular days such as this […]

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Alaska hits 60F in warmest December on record

Alaska hits 60F in warmest December on record

December 2017 has been described by the NWS as an ‘exceptionally mild’ month throughout Alaska. The major cities of Anchorage, Juneau and now Fairbanks are witnessing their warmest December on record, among countless other places. According to climatologist Brian Brettschneider, Fairbanks is running an astonishing 20 above normal for the first 20 days of December […]

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Majority of UK likely to witness ‘Brown Christmas’ but snow chances increase 27-29th

Majority of UK likely to witness ‘Brown Christmas’ but snow chances increase 27-29th

Here’s a glance at the latest model output for Christmas Day. Note the good agreement with low coming in across central Scotland, starting dry in south, wet in north with snow confined to north of the Central Belt. Models will continue to shift and alter over the next few days but it looks like 95%+ […]

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UK Christmas Extremes & Snow Stats

UK Christmas Extremes & Snow Stats

The below article is courtesy of the Met Office When was the warmest Christmas day? The warmest temperature recorded on Christmas day in the UK is 15.6 °C recorded in Killerton, Devon in 1920. Max temperature (°C) England 15.6 °C at Killerton, Devon in 1920 Northern Ireland 14.8 °C at Belfast Newforge in 2016 Scotland […]

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Tuesday AM hosts balmy 15C in Highland vs chilly -4C southern England

Tuesday AM hosts balmy 15C in Highland vs chilly -4C southern England

We had a pretty impressive upside down temperature profile over the UK this morning. 15C at Cassley in Northwest Highland (average is 7C) vs -4C at Frittenden, Kent and Bournemouth. Southeast England started the day cold and frosty in clear, calm conditions beneath the high while the Northwest Highlands was positioned on the windier outer […]

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Two Florida panhandle snow events in the same month?

Two Florida panhandle snow events in the same month?

Remember this back on Dec 8… https://twitter.com/weatheroptics/status/939625848310829056 MAJOR arctic trough makes it all the way to the Gulf Coast Christmas day. Check out the latest GFS snowfall forecast through 192 hours. According to the GFS, this snow event is bang on Christmas day… yes we know it’ll shift around and could well pull away from […]

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Turning the page to a milder theme… White or brown Christmas?

Turning the page to a milder theme… White or brown Christmas?

While we’ve enjoyed plenty of cold, crisp, bright winter days through much of the month so far, a milder theme is beginning to show, particularly for northern and western areas thanks to high pressure positioned over southern UK and near continent. Winds blowing around the W/N flank of the high is drawing in the milder […]

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US: Cross model agreement… Arctic floodgates open just in time for Christmas!

US: Cross model agreement… Arctic floodgates open just in time for Christmas!

While models can still do a 360 10 days out, it looks pretty much a lock that we’ve cold diving south in time for Christmas. All the models show the same solution with predominantly mild this week. The question is how cold once we reach Christmas? GFS ensemble shows significant warmth across the board mid […]

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Snowy, frosty scenes from the December ’17 cold spell, Shawbury is coldest at -13C

Snowy, frosty scenes from the December ’17 cold spell, Shawbury is coldest at -13C

It’s been a cold first half to December 2017 and coldest since 2010. Here are some beautiful wintry scenes captured in recent days across the UK. https://twitter.com/BBCScotWeather/status/939916402181451777 https://twitter.com/tillyteadance/status/940202184150536192 https://twitter.com/standardnews/status/939974275464822785 https://twitter.com/EdelMairs/status/940545762366296064 Katesbridge, Co Down dipped to -9.6C the day following the snow to make it Northern Ireland’s coldest morning of the winter. https://twitter.com/FionnualaSavage/status/939251642410717184 View of the Shawbury […]

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