Tropical
It has been rather quiet of late across the tropics as you would expect during the early part of the season, however we do now have a named storm on the charts and that name is Dorian. Dorian is a 50 mph storm heading west, northwest at 20 mph beneath the Mid-Atlantic ridge. Pressure is 1002mb. This […]
We are keeping a close eye on 60 mph Tropical Storm Chantal which is moving fairly quickly in a WNW direction over the Western Atlantic. Chantal is modestly organised at this time and could be considered a fairly strong tropical system with an increasingly well defined low level circulation as you can see from the below satellite image. There is […]
As we approach July, one must start watching the tropical Atlantic as the MJO index looks set to enter increasingly more favourable octants. While the GFS is going through phase 1, the ECMWF clearly shows it entering phase 2 and that’s prime time for western Atlantic development over the next couple of weeks. Quite often when the […]
The Atlantic Basin Hurricane Season begins June 1st and from what I am seeing in terms of the type of spring we’ve seen over North America and the sea surface temperatures over the Atlantic, there is reason to be concerned. The Gulf of Mexico is currently below normal while the tropical Atlantic from Leeward Islands to the Senegal […]
Thought it would be a good time to look at the global SST’s and tie in some interesting anomalies which have appeared during the cold second half to winter across the Northern Hemisphere and also look at the deep tropics and potentials with the upcoming Atlantic Basin Hurricane Season. Firstly, here’s the current global SST’s as […]
Hurricane Sandy is making landfall around Cape May, New Jersey as of this writing and it appears it has broken the record for the lowest ever barometric pressure in the Northeast, beating the infamous 1938 hurricane with 940 mb. The system is causing havoc up and down the coast as well as for hundreds of […]

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