Rest of Europe
The pattern across Ireland and the British Isles has relaxed substantially following the recent bombardment of storms. Higher pressure and colder air filtering south will make it at least feel a bit more February-like while the storms get re-routed into France, Spain and Portugal. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Little weather to speak of today through early Friday with […]
With a negative Arctic Oscillation but positive North Atlantic Oscillation, we turn colder but remain unsettled. The non -NAO means the Atlantic remains our active but the strat warm induced -AO means the jet has been forced south, meaning most of the UK is in the colder air. However with a still active jet/storm track as […]
This year’s highly active storm pattern continues to role with Imogen, the 9th named storm of the season slamming southern Ireland and Britain. The more southerly track is thanks to a more southerly jet stream providing a break for Northern Ireland and Scotland. Tremendous wind energy associated with Imogen crossing hundreds of miles of Atlantic has generated phenomenal […]
Thought I would quickly take a look back at January and how it played out across Europe and the UK. As you can see from the below graphics 2016’s opening month was ended up warmer as well as wetter than normal. Largely down to the strong El Nino, we’ve seen temps climb as high as […]
The first in the next series of Atlantic lows is now pushing over the UK with wind and rain and this sets the tone for turbulent weekend and start to next week. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] A cold upper trough is expanding over the NE Atlantic/Western Europe and lows will rotate around the trough bringing several hits of […]
Although there’s no true sign of an NAO flip back to negative, the AO is tanking in response to the stratospheric warming and so we’;; see a southward dip in a still strong jet stream next week. This does make a difference and a colder pattern. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Although most want to see the big […]
As we enter the Feb 5-10th period, it doesn’t look as though we truly loose the Atlantic influence but it does appear we turn our mean flow from west to northwest with lows still impacting but with colder air which increases the chance of snow to increasingly low levels. The GFS operational does show a […]
In the wake of wicked storm Henry which produced 100 mph winds on the exposed but low lying Tay Road Bridge and 149 mph over Cairngorm Summit Monday, northerly winds on the depression’s rear has helped force exceptionally cold air within the lower stratosphere (50,000+ feet) with the southern extension of the polar vortex dropping down over the UK. Clear, cold […]
If you live anywhere from the Central Lowlands northward, prepare for storm to hurricane-force gusts from 5pm onwards today. There’s widespread travel disruption already with some lorries being blown over and a gust of 84 mph forcing the complete closure of the Forth Rd Bridge. Earlier visible satellite view. Midday update 2pm update Expect a particularly […]
Going by recent trend in models and latest runs, it looks like Henry will pack as much punch across Northern Ireland and Scotland as Gertrude did tomorrow. Time to batten down once again. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] ECMWF surface Wind gusts Core of strongest winds may in fact be a little further south than Gertrude’s, therefore the Central […]
Recent Comments