Rest of Europe
An unusually warm, wet December ends cold, frosty and largely dry while January opens increasingly cold, with biting northerly. The northerly, packing 30 to 50+mph gusts shall usher in increasingly heavy and frequent snow showers. Low level accumulations of 5-10cm and 10-20, locally 30+ over high, exposed ground. A yellow snow and ice warning is […]
Despite a cooler end, December 2025 will be remembered for it’s persistent spells of wind, rain and warmth. On 9/10th Dec, Storm Bram (4th name of 2025/26 season) swept past. While generating the usual strong winds and heavy rains, probably the most notable aspect of this particular storm is the unusually warm air air pulled […]
Bi-Polar November’s seem to be a thing this recently. Abrupt swings from strong southwesterlies bringing record warmth to northerlies ushering in heavy snow and cold… Global temp & precip anomaly for November 2025 Europe The first 10 days was warm, even record warm across the continent with UK observing it’s warmest bonfire night on record. […]
December and meteorological winter starts mild and wet with the Atlantic the rule. The tail end of November finished with a rare SSW but being of the reflective type and supportive of North American cold outbreaks, the result for Europe is a stronger jet and reinforced low pressure dominance. While the MJO is strongly in […]
Welcome to my 16th consecutive Europe winter forecast. In this forecast, the conclusions drawn for the upcoming meteorological winter period (December-February) are based on current climate state and global drivers at play including current global SST profile, ENSO, IOD, QBO & Solar! Global Drivers Weak La Nina conditions Deepest -IOD Since 1996 Easterly QBO Warm […]
October ends and November begins with a deep Icelandic trough/Euro high with a predominantly mild, moist WSW flow as per week 1 of the CFSv2. The below total accumulated rainfall displays the above nicely with wettest where exposed to the Atlantic rainbands. A windy period too. With possible strengthening of the Euro ridge, I suspect […]
September 2025 will go down as a tail of two halves. A highly zonal, Atlantic low pressure dominated first half followed by cooler, drier, higher pressure dominated 2nd half. As predicted, a wet month with average to below average temps for much of UK/Ireland. Global temp & precip anomaly for September 2025 Europe UK Highlights/Stats […]
Following a September of two halves with low pressure dominance replaced by high, October’s opening days shall grow increasingly unsettled, even stormy. Thanks to a series of lows and dangling fronts separating low pressure to NW and high pressure SE, significant rain (warnings issued) is expected in Western Scotland over the next week or so […]
As is often the case with August, it’s been the most changeable and most influenced month by the tropics. Again though, high pressure and warmth has been a mainstay for the most part despite cool, unsettled start and finish. The presence of Ex-Tropical Storm Dexter, helped produce summer’s 4th heatwave with widespread record heat from […]
It’s very early, but as another meteorological summer draws to close, now is the time to start thinking winter! This short article is not a winter forecast nor 1st update, that will likely come late September/early October but this is an appetizer, a peak at what I look for at this end of summer period. […]
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