Rest of Europe
While Easter doesn’t fall on the same dates each year, we’ve witnessed all weather types and seasons with dates ranging from as early as March 22nd and as late as April 25th. Quite as few past Easter weekend’s have produced a little bit of everything given the high volatility ‘transition’ from winter to summer. The […]
The westerlies continued on from mid January through much of February as well as March, reflected nicely with a persistent +AO/NAO. Warmer than average has been the rule but not without a chillier end to the month as per my March Outlook. From late winter to early spring, rainfall distribution returned to a typical climatalogical […]
The pattern which carried through the back half of January largely continued in February with dominant westerlies. A distinct cool North, mild South for not only UK but Europe. Cold and dry Scandi & Baltic Region, exceptionally mild and wet France/Spain/Portugal. See February Recap! Is there any hints of change into the first month of […]
January was, like many recent months, a tale of two halves with cold first half followed by less cold 2nd half. I say less cold because it wasn’t entirely mild. Some days a little above, some a little below and many nearer average and that should make for a slightly colder than average following the […]
An unusually warm, wet December ends cold, frosty and largely dry while January opens increasingly cold, with biting northerly. The northerly, packing 30 to 50+mph gusts shall usher in increasingly heavy and frequent snow showers. Low level accumulations of 5-10cm and 10-20, locally 30+ over high, exposed ground. A yellow snow and ice warning is […]
Despite a cooler end, December 2025 will be remembered for it’s persistent spells of wind, rain and warmth. On 9/10th Dec, Storm Bram (4th name of 2025/26 season) swept past. While generating the usual strong winds and heavy rains, probably the most notable aspect of this particular storm is the unusually warm air air pulled […]
Bi-Polar November’s seem to be a thing this recently. Abrupt swings from strong southwesterlies bringing record warmth to northerlies ushering in heavy snow and cold… Global temp & precip anomaly for November 2025 Europe The first 10 days was warm, even record warm across the continent with UK observing it’s warmest bonfire night on record. […]
December and meteorological winter starts mild and wet with the Atlantic the rule. The tail end of November finished with a rare SSW but being of the reflective type and supportive of North American cold outbreaks, the result for Europe is a stronger jet and reinforced low pressure dominance. While the MJO is strongly in […]
Welcome to my 16th consecutive Europe winter forecast. In this forecast, the conclusions drawn for the upcoming meteorological winter period (December-February) are based on current climate state and global drivers at play including current global SST profile, ENSO, IOD, QBO & Solar! Global Drivers Weak La Nina conditions Deepest -IOD Since 1996 Easterly QBO Warm […]
October ends and November begins with a deep Icelandic trough/Euro high with a predominantly mild, moist WSW flow as per week 1 of the CFSv2. The below total accumulated rainfall displays the above nicely with wettest where exposed to the Atlantic rainbands. A windy period too. With possible strengthening of the Euro ridge, I suspect […]
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