Mark Vogan
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Scotland While snowfall to low levels didn’t materialise today as expected in western parts due to a deeper layer of mild air in the mid-levels and that milder air being too close to the ground for liquid precip to change over to snow before hitting the ground. Up over higher ground in the Highlands, Grampians and Southern […]
While this month has a long way to go and things can change.. it would appear the general consenses in the models all point to snowier and colder times THROUGHOUT Europe and the UK and to put it bluntly, so much for the ‘mild December’ many thought would happen. As I’ve kept harping on about now for […]
While the Lower 48 basks in warmth, those days are numbered for the East and have ended further west. Many are doubting this winter, asking whether it will ever truely get here given that we’re now into December and we’ve seen the warmest opening three days on record. I urge you to look at the big picture […]
Tonight is by far the coldest night of the season both here at my house where the temperature is now down to -6C while it’s a biting -10.2C up at Loch Glascarnoch in the North Highlands. The front which pushed through, heading south last night ushered in colder air with lower thickness values and with the combination […]
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Scotland Scotland faces quite the next 24 hours packed with plenty of winter weather. Through tonight, clear skies, light winds, snowcover and very cold air aloft, will drive surface temperatures below -10C for the first time this season over the Highlands and even in rural parts of the Central Lowlands, temperatures locally may hit -7 or -8C. Expect […]
Check this out at 240 hrs off the ECMWF Deterministic. The control run is much more favourable for sustained blocking north and west of the UK which would allow the cold off Europe to push west and cover the UK and Ireland and then trap it there. The ECMWF Deterministic shows a push of mild off the […]
We continue to sit beneath an atmospheric battleground between Atlantic and arctic/continental air and for now, the Atlantic is winning but for how long? For the past week to 10 days I have made mention about the fact that snowcover will become extensive across Europe by the end of this week. This is important if the UK is […]
[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Scotland After a day of snow showers across the Highlands and Grampian, rain showers across the South and a cold but largely bright day in the Central Belt, tonight will see a weak frontal boundary push south bringing snow showers to eastern areas and behind it will be a reinforcing shot of colder […]
This afternoon’s blowtorch has many from the Plains to Mid-Atlantic scratching their heads as exceptionally warm temperatures rocketing to mid-September levels and 20-30°F above normal for Dec 3. Today’s astonishing all-time record warmth is a byproduct of the weeklong wild pattern which has hammered California and the West. As much as 23.4 inches of rain feel at Brandy Creek, […]



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