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The 2015 Atlantic hurricane season is quiet, NHC has issued its quietest hurricane forecast ever with a 90% chance of a below normal season. The cooler-than normal water through the tropical Atlantic is a small part of the reason. The strongest El Nino since 1997 is one of two major factors, the other is the contrast in warm […]
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In today’s post I wanted to share with you an interesting article I came across on Netweather.tv. A theory about a very possible connection between El Nino and European heat waves. Given that I base my own forecasts on connections with major global drivers such as El Nino and SSTA’s, I very much believe there’s […]
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When it comes to Texas in 2015, the El Nino gives then takes. It’s been about as extreme as it gets when it comes to flips in weather pattern. After a record wet and therefore cool April, May and for some, June too, the weather flipped big time to a dry and therefore hot July and […]
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An unusually strong upper ridge has been dominated across Europe for much of the 2015 summer and in the last 5 days, the latest heat burst has been shifting north from France through Germany and now all the way into the Baltic countries. This past weekend for many across the Southern UK and a large […]
Well the GFS has hands down beaten the ECMWF on Bertha’s track as well as intensity, deepening from 1001mb off SW Britain to now nearer 978mb off Aberdeen. As Bertha tracked NNE the system continued to deepen as seen by the GFS with wind speeds and rainfall increasing. The combination of Highland topography and very warm water (compared to normal) over […]
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