Archive for May, 2016
Now that we’re turning the upper air pattern on it’s head by reversing the high over low, we’re finally in a position to plug southern warmth as the supressed subtropical high will finally get to lift north. You may want to dust down those BBQ’s as Fri-Sun is likely to see the first low 20s for many. […]
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It’s looked and felt more like winter of late but thanks to the collapse of the Greenland block which brought persistent NNW air flow over the UK, we can finally begin to draw on air from the opposite direction. The abrupt flip from winter to summer is reflective of moody El Nino springs. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Expect to see […]
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The El Nino of 2016 had significant influence on the boreal winter of 2015-16 and it’s influence is now extending into spring. However, the El Nino is on it’s way out and giving way to likely La Nina conditions by mid to late summer but the ground work of the decaying El Nino will have already shaped the upper atmosphere […]
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The meteorological summer forecast 2016 is based upon past, present and projected SSTA (sea surface temperature anomaly) atmospheric conditions and ENSO (El Nino Southern Oscillation). [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Background Following a record tying strong El Nino which peaked in autumn 2015 and profoundly influenced the cold season of 2015-16, there is significantly weakening which will have affect on the summer. Expect to see […]
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