It’s looked and felt more like winter of late but thanks to the collapse of the Greenland block which brought persistent NNW air flow over the UK, we can finally begin to draw on air from the opposite direction. The abrupt flip from winter to summer is reflective of moody El Nino springs.
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Expect to see the first low, perhaps mid 20s late this week and according to many models, this more settled and warmer pattern should persist.
GFS ensemble shows a warm pattern kicking in, just look at that 6-10!

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits
The CFSv2 weeklies suggests a settled and warmer pattern will hold through the majority of May.

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits

Credit: Tropical Tidbits
See today’s video.
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