Archive for 2015
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It’s a soaker of a weekend and week ahead along the Gulf Coast as warm, humid air lifts north out of the Gulf up against a stalled frontal boundary on the southern flank of a large high pressure system. That high dominates the Heartland into the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys. That high and it’s position to the SW means a […]
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There are some strong similarities between this year and last. SSTA’s, with slight but important differences, the cold spring, slow start to severe weather season and the winter pattern overall. Here are the global SSTA’s this year vs last. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] With warmer water off all three US coastlines (West, Gulf, East Coast) expect wetter conditions and in turn lower heights for […]
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Latest run of the CFSv2 I think reflects well my UK summer idea but doesn’t for the rest of Europe. I have it warmer, drier into the South and Southwest (Iberia), cooler, wetter for the North (Scandinavia). Latest 700mb anomaly 2m temp anomalies. Rather than the warm, dry anticyclonic pattern of June-July 2013 and […]
Back in late March I highlighted the period around the end of April’sfirst week as the period to watch for the first significant warm surge with first 20s. That has indeed materialised nicely. I also had Friday as the day for warmest temps as southerly winds would pick up as a system out in the […]
As forecasted nearly a week ago, the south winds are blowing and transporting Mediterranean source air up through the British Isles. Call it an April version of the Spanish plume! Highs today topped close to 21C (70F) at Fyvie Castle, Aberdeenshire thanks to strong sun and some downslope compressional warming off the Grampians. Tomorrow, we should get to similar values […]
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