Archive for 2014
In the past 7 days, we saw an extreme pattern with the heat in the West, chill over the Plains, heat and flooding from the Ohio Valley to East Coast. This week we see a less extreme situation with rainfall and temperature distributed much more evenly across the country. This looks like a promising setup for the worst areas affected […]
Increasing warmth and humidity beneath a vigorous upper low, the same which produced the worst flooding in Serbia and Bosnia history, generated strong to severe thunderstorms over parts of Poland, Ukraine, Russia and Romania yesterday. Over 13,000 lightning strikes within 24 hours, 6,000 in an afternoon alone struck Ukraine. Note the large amount of strikes over […]
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The very progressive but unusually late warm-cold fight looks to continue across the US through the next few days as seen by the CFSv2 weeklies. Here’s the latest look at the CFSv2 which shows little chance through the upcoming summer. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] July August The Jamstec also remains chilly through the summer. [/s2If][s2If current_user_cannot(access_s2member_level1)][magicactionbox id=”18716″][/s2If]
Here a quick glance at the latest CFSv2 precip/temp charts for Europe through the June-August period. Interestingly the latest run shows a WARMER and DRIER than normal June for the UK. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] JUNE Precip Temp As for July and August, the model has ‘equal chances’ with no colour temperaturewise, slightly above normal precip in the northern UK in […]
Each and every post these days seems to consist of heat, cold, snow and rain and on the ‘extreme’ end of the ledger. Yesterday saw widespread upper 90s at the beaches to mid 100s in the deserts of Southern California. Firstly, here’s the initial upper air pattern according to the ECMWF which continues to support this extreme setup. […]
Sadly the concerns I raised last weekend into early this week have been confirmed. Serbia and Bosnia have experienced their worst flooding in 120 years with a women and firefighter drowning. Here was the scene in the devastated village of Topcic Polje near Zenica, 120 kms north of Sarajevo, following a major landslide following the heavy rainfall. Here’s a […]
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As shown in today’s video. The ridge is establishing itself over the UK (initially), promoting temperatures into the low and mid 20s for SE England and the mainland coastal plain tomorrow and Saturday but in stark contrast and as pointed out here with a good 5 days now, flooding is grabbing the headlines over the Balkans. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Through […]
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