Archive for 2014

Extreme Pattern Brings California Heat, Rockies Snow, Plains Severe Weather…

Written by on October 3, 2014 in United States of America with 0 Comments
Extreme Pattern Brings California Heat, Rockies Snow, Plains Severe Weather…

I touched on the tanking of the AO and NAO in this morning’s Europe post and video but here’s a great graphic produced by Ralph Fato on just how rare this ‘tanking’ is if it comes off. What may this mean for the US in October? More extreme weather such as the extreme amplification of the pattern […]

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EUROPE: -NAO/AO Doesn’t Always Mean Cold But ‘Trend’ Is Favourable For Cold Later!

Written by on October 2, 2014 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
EUROPE: -NAO/AO Doesn’t Always Mean Cold But ‘Trend’ Is Favourable For Cold Later!

It’s interesting when looking back at the 500mb anomaly from the last 90 days and see a cold arctic, hence the ‘less melting’ of sea ice compared to 2012, 2013 but still see a predominantly -AO and -NAO. I’ve said for years now that we should watch carefully the ‘trends’ and this year is largely opposite of last […]

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THU 2 OCT: VOGAN’S EUROPEAN (LONG RANGE) OUTLOOK

Written by on October 2, 2014 in Videos with 0 Comments
THU 2 OCT: VOGAN’S EUROPEAN (LONG RANGE) OUTLOOK

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WED 1 OCT: VOGAN’S NORTH AMERICAN OUTLOOK

Written by on October 1, 2014 in Videos with 0 Comments
WED 1 OCT: VOGAN’S NORTH AMERICAN OUTLOOK

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EUROPE: Atlantic Door Opened Up With Snow Building Time For Norway…

Written by on October 1, 2014 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
EUROPE: Atlantic Door Opened Up With Snow Building Time For Norway…

A front is currently progressing southeast over the UK, weakening as it does so but left in it’s wake will be a clear, calm and cold early October night. GFS shows sub-freezing temps tomorrow morning over far north England but I suspect rural parts of Scotland, Northern England will see patchy frost with favoured sheltered areas likely […]

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UK/EUROPE: Autumn Finally Catching Up With Calendar Following Driest Sept On Record

Written by on September 30, 2014 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
UK/EUROPE: Autumn Finally Catching Up With Calendar Following Driest Sept On Record

It looks like September ends as driest on record or since 1911 for the UK. No real surprise given there was no recovery to wetter during the second half of the month. Well as the old saying goes, nothing last’s forever and in the world of weather and our atmosphere, a pattern will only last so long […]

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TUE 30 SEP: VOGAN’S EUROPEAN OUTLOOK

Written by on September 30, 2014 in Videos with 0 Comments
TUE 30 SEP: VOGAN’S EUROPEAN OUTLOOK

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US October Outlook: Progressive West-East Pattern But Look For Colder West, Warmer East

Written by on September 29, 2014 in United States of America with 0 Comments
US October Outlook: Progressive West-East Pattern But Look For Colder West, Warmer East

As stated many a time now, I think fall is warmer than normal for much of the country but we may find a pool of cool in the Rockies, possibly extending eastward through the Plains where the troughs like to dig more. However, the warm water off the East Coast and stronger than normal Bermuda high means resistance for […]

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MON 29 SEP: VOGAN’S EUROPEAN OUTLOOK

Written by on September 29, 2014 in Videos with 0 Comments
MON 29 SEP: VOGAN’S EUROPEAN OUTLOOK

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EUROPE: Classic October Weather Is On It’s Way

Written by on September 29, 2014 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
EUROPE: Classic October Weather Is On It’s Way

Good morning! Changes are being seen by all models this upcoming 7-14 day period with the NAO dropping back towards neutral then negative. This to me suggests more wet than cold. Saying that the AO is going negative too say perhaps I should watch the potential air masses coming down closely. I’ve stated for some time now […]

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