Archive for 2014
I touched on the tanking of the AO and NAO in this morning’s Europe post and video but here’s a great graphic produced by Ralph Fato on just how rare this ‘tanking’ is if it comes off. What may this mean for the US in October? More extreme weather such as the extreme amplification of the pattern […]
It’s interesting when looking back at the 500mb anomaly from the last 90 days and see a cold arctic, hence the ‘less melting’ of sea ice compared to 2012, 2013 but still see a predominantly -AO and -NAO. I’ve said for years now that we should watch carefully the ‘trends’ and this year is largely opposite of last […]
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A front is currently progressing southeast over the UK, weakening as it does so but left in it’s wake will be a clear, calm and cold early October night. GFS shows sub-freezing temps tomorrow morning over far north England but I suspect rural parts of Scotland, Northern England will see patchy frost with favoured sheltered areas likely […]
It looks like September ends as driest on record or since 1911 for the UK. No real surprise given there was no recovery to wetter during the second half of the month. Well as the old saying goes, nothing last’s forever and in the world of weather and our atmosphere, a pattern will only last so long […]
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As stated many a time now, I think fall is warmer than normal for much of the country but we may find a pool of cool in the Rockies, possibly extending eastward through the Plains where the troughs like to dig more. However, the warm water off the East Coast and stronger than normal Bermuda high means resistance for […]
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Good morning! Changes are being seen by all models this upcoming 7-14 day period with the NAO dropping back towards neutral then negative. This to me suggests more wet than cold. Saying that the AO is going negative too say perhaps I should watch the potential air masses coming down closely. I’ve stated for some time now […]

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