Archive for 2014
It’s safe to say that I am hesitant at committing yet to the upcoming winter following the bust of last year. I feel much more confident about a cold winter ahead for the Central and Eastern United States but not so much for Western Europe. I know where I went wrong last year and also know why I should sway […]
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With both NAO and AO positive, the zonal, Pacific flow pattern rules next 2, possibly 3 weeks across the US. This day 3-10 500mb height anomaly chart says it all. Expect above normal temps with west to east flow. CFSv2 has the same idea for October in it’s 200mb height anomaly. Note the negative over Greenland representing to positive […]
Thanks to a steep pressure gradient between a 960 Norwegian Sea low and 1024 high over southern England, winds are blowing hard out of the west across the Northern UK, even stronger up over Orkney, Shetland and the Faroe Isles. It’s a classic autumnal feel, a good old leaf stripper while southern England and Wales […]
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The new run of the CFSv2 for winter has interesting changes. While the red paint bomb was dropped on the winter across much of the continent, it’s now looking like the model is trending towards a more weak to moderate El Nino style winter. It’s safe to say that the El Nino is coming on but not strong […]
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No change in overall autumn ideas. Warm October and November with turn to much wetter conditions into November. The new Jamstec is out and it interestingly expands cold again over Western Europe including all of the UK and Ireland. Old New [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] The El Nino is slowly coming on and will be present come winter. For us […]
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