Archive for 2014

EUROPE: Classic Model Disagreement Over Late October, -AO Is Deepest Since 2002

Written by on October 9, 2014 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
EUROPE: Classic Model Disagreement Over Late October, -AO Is Deepest Since 2002

Not the best of pics but I captured this over the Cairngorms yesterday on my drive up to Invergordon (half hour north of Inverness). Nice to see the snow again! Arctic Oscillation At It’s Lowest October Value Since 2002 Interestingly the Arctic Oscillation is now down to -4, the lowest value for October since an all-time record (for […]

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THU 9 OCT: VOGAN’S EUROPEAN OUTLOOK

Written by on October 9, 2014 in Videos with 0 Comments
THU 9 OCT: VOGAN’S EUROPEAN OUTLOOK

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US Outlook: Could Super Typhoon Vongfong Bring Big Pacific Northwest SNOW In 6-10 Days?

Written by on October 8, 2014 in United States of America with 0 Comments
US Outlook: Could Super Typhoon Vongfong Bring Big Pacific Northwest SNOW In 6-10 Days?

Super Typhoon Vongfong deepened to 880mb last night and this could become a top 5 strongest tropical cyclone on record. We of course had the recurve of a strong typhoon within the last 5 days and this should drive trough No 1 down the Plains EARLY next week. Models have been all over this now for […]

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WED 8 OCT: VOGAN’S NORTH AMERICAN OUTLOOK

Written by on October 8, 2014 in Videos with 0 Comments
WED 8 OCT: VOGAN’S NORTH AMERICAN OUTLOOK

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EUROPE: +NAO/AO Signal For 2nd Half Of Oct, Asia Snow Cover Is Growing!

Written by on October 8, 2014 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 3 Comments
EUROPE: +NAO/AO Signal For 2nd Half Of Oct, Asia Snow Cover Is Growing!

There is good agreement in the models that we have a more positive height field coming up in the next week over Western Europe and this should help TEMPORARILY shut down the Atlantic storm train. Even with these -NAO/AO autumn’s, there’s almost always a respite after we see the turn to wet off a warm, predominantly […]

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WED 8 OCT: VOGAN’S EUROPEAN OUTLOOK

Written by on October 8, 2014 in Videos with 0 Comments
WED 8 OCT: VOGAN’S EUROPEAN OUTLOOK

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7-10 Day US Outlook: Two Major Cold Shots, Significant Rain On The Horizon

Written by on October 7, 2014 in United States of America with 0 Comments
7-10 Day US Outlook: Two Major Cold Shots, Significant Rain On The Horizon

We’re talking about one ‘extremely’ intense Super Typhoon Vongfong that’s spinning over the West Pacific. Winds now sustained at around 180 mph with gusts topping 220. This system is set to make a recurve as it makes a close approach to Japan in the coming days. This will likely have significant influence some 3,500 miles to the […]

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WESTERN EUROPE: October Playing Catch Up From Record Dry September

Written by on October 7, 2014 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
WESTERN EUROPE: October Playing Catch Up From Record Dry September

The first big blow of the autumn was an impressive one with peak gusts topping 122 mph over Cairngorm while low level South Uist gusted to 84. This morning it’s not much better over the Northern Isles with Lerwick gusting to 69 mph while it was cold and clear over much of the mainland with dense fog for […]

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TUE 7 OCT: VOGAN’S EUROPEAN OUTLOOK

Written by on October 7, 2014 in Videos with 0 Comments
TUE 7 OCT: VOGAN’S EUROPEAN OUTLOOK

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Another Heatwave For California, Cold Blast For Plains Next Week

Written by on October 6, 2014 in United States of America with 0 Comments
Another Heatwave For California, Cold Blast For Plains Next Week

The current trough which brought sub-freezing lows into Alabama and Georgia through the weekend will be lifting out over the next 36 hours, replaced by warmer but more unsettled weather once again. The most noteworthy weather through the first half of this week will be the remnants of Simon which will come ashore on the Baja […]

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