US Outlook: Hottest Week Of Summer? Wet Ground Will Influence Intensity…

Written by on August 22, 2014 in United States of America with 1 Comment

The current 7-day stretch across the Eastern two thirds of the country may well be the hottest of the entire summer from Dallas to Charlotte up to Chicago. For cities such as Indianapolis and Pittsburgh whom have not yet hit 90, we will watch this current heat surge carefully!

ECMWF 7-day mean 500mb heights

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

7-day mean 2M temps/anomalies

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

Yesterday’s highs.

curtemps_600x405

Heat builds next few days across Midwest with potential 2-4 days of 90s in Atlanta, Charlotte and Chicago, 5 days of 100+ in Dallas.

Wet ground over the Mid and Upper Mississippi Valley and Ohio Valley, like we’ve seen all summer long, may thwart the intensity of the heat as it lifts northward. The heat like’s to go where it’s dry so it’s not a given that the heat will be as impressive as modelling are making out!

current_usdm

58% of CA is in extreme drought.

20140819_west_none

 

[s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)]

Why heat may be tempered yet again.

CONUS_MEXICO_vic_sm_qnt

July

curr_w_full

July Anomaly

curr_w_anom

Change in soil moisture content since May 31.

curr_w_chg3_daily

As you can see, the drought has eased over the S Plains but worsened over California as expected but notice how the rains are increasing and expanding further south and west in response to the El Nino and warmer PDO as we head into fall and winter. California should see an easing of the drought through the upcoming winter.

usPrecSeaInd1

usPrecSeaInd4

This setup with eastern heat, supports some high elevation Rocky Mountain snow.

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

Courtesy/Owned by AccuWeather Pro

[/s2If][s2If current_user_cannot(access_s2member_level1)][magicactionbox id=”18716″][/s2If]

Follow us

Connect with Mark Vogan on social media to get notified about new posts and for the latest weather updates.

Subscribe via RSS Feed Connect on YouTube

1 Reader Comment

Trackback URL Comments RSS Feed

  1. Kathleen says:

    Spot on! As usual… Our home state of CA is having a rough go of things with the drought and hopefully things will improve soon. Relieved to see your information pointing to rain for CA this winter.
    Here in Nashville, TN we are seeing a few hot days here and there but even when heat is predicted it frequently doesn’t get anywhere near predicted highs. At least where we’re living we’ve had recent heavy downpours (3+ inches in several hours) and also cloudy skies which seem to work to keep the temperatures comfortable. Also the nights, again with a few exceptions, are cooler than expected.
    Having lived for several years in Austin, TX and Fort Lauderdale, FL, we’ve experienced hot, humid climates where there rarely seems to be a break from the heat/humidity. Even though we’re not that far North here your predictions seem to be applicable even at the Southern end of the Ohio Valley.

Leave a Reply

Top