Archive for August, 2013

More Arctic Sea Ice – Less Northern Blocking This Winter?

I’m seeing a few interesting comments surfacing on Facebook about the increase in arctic and northern hemisphere sea ice extent compared to recent years which they claim may lead to little or no blocking and a mild winter for Europe and I guess they mean North America too. This prompted me to have a look at […]

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MON 12 AUG: UK & IRELAND REGIONAL FORECAST

Written by on August 12, 2013 in United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments

Scotland After a rather mixed weekend with a cool feel thanks to the breeze, the new workweek kicks off in a similar vane with plenty of sunshine, a cool breeze but those showers will pep up through the morning and especially into the afternoon. The heaviest and most persistent looks to be in the East but your […]

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Chilly Next 2-3 Weeks Over Eastern US But Could August End Warm To Hot?

Written by on August 11, 2013 in United States of America with 0 Comments

After a warm-up and return to higher humidity, the chill returns this week to the Eastern United States and more or less all models show a very cool next 2-3 weeks with the trough firmly under the thumb of a strong blocking high to the north, helping keep unusually warm weather up across the arctic circle of Canada. […]

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NAO To Go Positive, Last Blast Of Summer For Western Europe?

Written by on August 11, 2013 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 1 Comment

It’s been a much more classic summer pattern across Western Europe over the last 10-15 days while the very air mass which baked us back in July sizzles central and eastern Europe. Much of the Med up into the Alpine region has seen blistering highs of 35-40C with an all-time high of 40.1C in Austria. The front […]

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SUN 11 AUG: VOGAN’S NORTH AMERICAN OUTLOOK

Written by on August 11, 2013 in Videos with 0 Comments

[s2Stream player=”jwplayer-v6-rtmp” player_path=”/jwplayer/jwplayer.js” file_download=”Vid110813.mp4″ player_width=”640″ player_height=”480″ player_key=”7dA7m05wsepGN0qTGnxA7CFT7sgLuKxncIU/4g==” player_option_blocks=”logo:{file:’https://www.markvoganweather.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/05/jwplayer_logo.png’,link:’https://www.markvoganweather.com’}” /] A glance at the North American/Hemispheric pattern over the next 2-4 weeks. Heavy rains from the Central Plains into Southeast and Mid-Atlantic and the potential for a last blast of summer into the Eastern US week 3-4 or at the end of August start of September.

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SAT 10 AUG: VOGAN’S EUROPEAN OUTLOOK

Written by on August 10, 2013 in Videos with 0 Comments

[s2Stream player=”jwplayer-v6-rtmp” player_path=”/jwplayer/jwplayer.js” file_download=”Vid100813.mp4″ player_width=”640″ player_height=”480″ player_key=”7dA7m05wsepGN0qTGnxA7CFT7sgLuKxncIU/4g==” player_option_blocks=”logo:{file:’https://www.markvoganweather.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/05/jwplayer_logo.png’,link:’https://www.markvoganweather.com’}” /] Look at the Europe pattern over the next 10 days and CFS 500mb height anomalies for autumn and winter!

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Fairbanks, AK Records Unprecedented 36 Days Of 80°+, Cool & Wet Over E Lower 48

Written by on August 9, 2013 in United States of America with 0 Comments

It’s been a summer that’s been plain HOT and unusually so throughout Alaska with record breaking heat kicking off in style back in mid June when parts of the Last Frontier warmed into the UPPER 90s. The town of Talkeetna smashed it’s all-time record high on June 17 with a temperature of 96°. Unofficially the temperature hit 98° in one place which if was […]

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Austria Sets All-Time Record In Midst Of Europe Heatwave Which Started Over UK

Written by on August 9, 2013 in Rest of Europe, United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments

It’s back to normality over much of Western Europe after the UK endured it’s third warmest July on record. Cooler westerly winds are back in control but all the heat which baked western areas last month hasn’t disappeared but simply shifted east and the heat is ON big-time across the Mediterranean basin as well as central areas of […]

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FRI 9 AUG: UK & IRELAND WEEKEND FORECAST

Written by on August 9, 2013 in United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments

Scotland The sunshine and showers of today should largely die away overnight tonight with clear spells developing. While many areas turn chilly with rural areas again dipping to between 3-6C, towns and cities nearer 9 or 10C, expect some showers to push into Western areas, possibly reaching Glasgow. Saturday looks similar to today with a […]

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Media ‘Heatwave’ Hype & Thoughts On Europe Winter…

Written by on August 8, 2013 in United Kingdom & Ireland with 1 Comment

Ireland, UK and really much of western Europe is now firmly stuck is a benign summer endgame pattern through next week and beyond. We’ve seen quite the shift in height field from mid to late July with lower pressure tending to hang over the above normal SST’s now and as the cool starts to build further north, the combination of those warm […]

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