The pattern over the next 7 days will be very much a north to south split with always the more unsettled, cooler conditions over the North while the best of the sunshine and warmth will be focused on the South thanks to a northern extension of a 1036mb Azores ridge. You’ll probably noticed the muggy feel to the air as the flow is warm but also moist out of the SW. Fronts and plentiful moisture will stream across the northern periphery of the high, bringing the spells of unsettled weather to Northern Ireland and Scotland with breaks in between. This is quite a typical early summer pattern.

This weekend’s conditions are looking good for both Glastonbury and Wimbledon.

Here’s the latest ECMWF surface charts from this weekend into next week.

Sun

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Tue

Thu

I suspect an improving setup with better weather even for Northern Ireland and Scotland through the second half of next week. The NAO looks to remain conducive for positive height anomalies across the UK and Ireland.

Here’s the ECMWF upper charts and 850 temps for the same period.

Sun

Tue

Thu

GFS Hints At A More Significant Ridge & Warmth Around July 5-10th!

While it’s way too far out to be sure. Check out the GFS surface and upper chart for around Jul 7th. This would NOT be a surprise given my long term July outlook at the latest NAO status.

GFS surface at 276 hrs

GFS 500mb at 276 hrs.

Certainly something worth keeping an eye on.

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