March 2013 To Be UK’s Coldest Since 1962, Coldest Easter On Record On The Way?

Written by on March 28, 2013 in United Kingdom & Ireland with 0 Comments
Courtesy of Mark Vogan

Courtesy of Mark Vogan

With seemingly nonstop talk of cold, heavy snow and the fact that many areas are running colder than that of December, January and February, which amazingly were BELOW NORMAL, it’s no wonder this month is on track to be coldest since 62. Afterall, by enduring this tough past few weeks, I guess it’s somewhat of a consolation that we make the record books.

According to a news release today by the Met Office, the UK’s coldest March on record (since 1910) was 1962 with an average temperature of 1.9C, we’re currently averaging 2.5C which puts us joint 4th for the coldest March on record. We are on track to experience our coldest March in half a century. However, what may even threaten the 1.9C, 1962 record will be just how cold Britain gets in coming nights. With optimum conditions and maximum radiational cooling covering a large area including the snowfields, clear skies, light winds and snowcover should support a UK-wide temperature profile of -1 to -8C with pockets of -9 to -12C. These kinds of temperatures combined with sub-par daytime maximums may push even that 1962 record but it’s ‘a chance’, not a liklihood. All in all we look to end this month as the coldest since 62 at the very least. Mighty impressive.

Related Article

Coldest March for the UK since 1962

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Coldest Easter On Record

As for Easter. The Met Office tweeted an interesting fact today that the coldest Easter on record was back on March 31, 1986 when a low of -9.8C was recorded in Inverness-shire. I believe that record may be threatened by upcoming Easter Sunday.

Graphic courtesy of the Met Office

Graphic courtesy of the Met Office

As for when will this all end and we finally see spring? As i’ve posted several times of late, there is no real end in sight to all this with both NAO and AO holding well into negative territory, sounds like a broken record right?. The medium range models are is good agreement that our stubborn easterly flow will remain persistent through at least the first week of April and likely extending into mid-month. That means we remain colder than normal through the next 2-3 weeks potentially. It has been incredibly ‘below normal’ across the heart of Europe and with high pressure to the north/northeast of the UK, this has steered the mid-winter level cold, continental air our way. Remember, this cold would be unusually cold even in mid-winter never mind March.

I believe the all-time coldest April low in the UK is -13C, while it’s tough to see that record being tied or broken, we could see a few nights even into early next week, push or exceed -10C and so overnight readings into the first first days of April may need to be watched. A challenge of the April record would also be a challenge to the UK’s coldest low of the winter also, quite remarkable given that we will have entered not only April but British summertime also.

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