United Kingdom & Ireland
Today’s winter forecast is based on all current global atmospheric/oceanic drivers in place, their current status and model projection. Here are the main factors taken into consideration for the upcoming 2017-18 winter for Europe. Low Arctic Sea Ice/High Eurasia Snow Cover = negative Arctic/North Atlantic Oscillation? Arctic sea ice as well as Eurasian snow cover […]
It’s been late coming but wintry weather finally arrived during October’s final week. An October which falls within the top 10 warmest October’s for the UK. https://twitter.com/MetOffice_Sci/status/923159977652518913 Cold northerly winds first brought the snow and ice Sunday to the Cairngorm plateau followed by high pressure Sunday night into Monday which brought the first widespread frost […]
This morning comfortably marked our coolest of autumn so far with a widespread frost and minimum down to -5C at Tulloch Bridge. As our high slides off to our south, milder maritime air will quickly return overnight tonight. Sunday’s northerly air flow followed by Monday’s high pressure set the scene for this morning’s cool, crisp […]
The first snows have arrived in eastern Europe thanks to Atlantic and Arctic air colliding while the first frosts arrived this morning to parts of central/southern Scotland. https://twitter.com/severeweatherEU/status/923185550848348160 https://twitter.com/severeweatherEU/status/923472752824209408 https://twitter.com/severeweatherEU/status/922178334452305921 https://twitter.com/LatviaRR/status/923625893666443264 First frost for central Scotland. https://twitter.com/MarkVogan/status/923849172360613888 By late weekend, it’ll feel like winter throughout the UK with the help of a brisk northerly wind, […]
Up until now it’s been largely mild with many including myself still yet to see the first frost. That will change through the weekend and on into next week as we get our first taste late autumn/early winter. I must state that the TWO shots of cold is not atypical, it’ll probably feel that way […]
Located in the northeast Atlantic and often in the direct firing line of the jet stream and it’s storms, the UK and Ireland can be a very windy place. In particularly unsettled spells in the heart of winter, it can be the windiest place on earth. Storms can hit at any time of year with 100+ mph […]
As we close the door to autumn’s 2nd month there’s contradiction in the modelling around the end of Oct/beginning of November solution. GFS ensemble indicates a turn to much cooler around Halloween on into the opening days of November, a change from recent years while the CFSv2 weeklies hold on to the milder theme. GFS ensemble […]
After weeks of dealing with hurricanes, former hurricanes and storms, we’re edging ever closer to winter, the season many of us are longing for. Up until now it’s been all about the Atlantic with no mention of the Arctic. This will inevitably change as we head into November. So far, our setup has very much […]
Despite some localised damage and disruption, Ophelia let Central Scotland off lightly. Ireland was always pined for worst impacts given track. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rLlMfvl0bCI Lucky escape in Kinsale as corrugated roof is ripped off #ophelia pic.twitter.com/s544XW4eSI — Stephen Murphy (@SMurphyTV) October 16, 2017 Ophelia full tide at Tramore (taken out window) @barrabest @StormHour @MetAlertIreland @metofficestorms pic.twitter.com/5otiQi4Okd — […]
Amazingly, Ophelia has become the farthest east Category 3 MAJOR hurricane on record. It continues to set it’s sights on Ireland and western/northern UK early next week as a powerful and potentially destructive extra tropical cyclone. It hits bang on the 30th anniversary of the Great Storm! https://twitter.com/MeteoGib/status/919213055476752385 Track more certain than strength Track of […]
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