United Kingdom & Ireland
HAPPY ST PATRICK’S DAY!! The above is current SST anomalies globally. CFSv2 SST forecast looks like this. April-June [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] June-August Notice it has a strengthening El Nino with warmest waters shifting into the eastern Pacific while it remains very warm up the West Coast of North America and cold in the North Atlantic. This […]
While today we remain under the influence of the Scandinavian blocking high, feeding a modest chill in from a predominantly mild continent, we see this large system weaken and drift east through this week. An Azores high builds in to replace and this should herald some lighter winds and brighter skies also. Daytime temps will rise from […]
You have to go back to November for the last time the NAO went negative but for a brief few days this week, it’s back negative. This is a superb upper air pattern for cold to get delivered into the UK from Siberia. One big problem, there’s NO truly cold continental air to get pulled in […]
Thanks to a powerful 1052mb high spinning over Scandinavia, Mother’s Day 2015 is looking mostly cloudy (but with some bright or sunny spells), breezy, if not windy and chilly with our air originating all the way from Russia. There’s a chance of some shower activity pretty much anywhere. Here’s how the GFS surface chart looks at 12z tomorrow. Easterly […]
Both atmosphere and ocean over the Pacific are showing signs of a strengthening El Nino (finally). There also appears to be a trend more and more towards a stronger El Nino as we head through summer into next autumn. While I would take this somewhat with a pinch of salt as models have frequently showed a stronger nino only to have […]
The wind stream map off MeteoEarth shows just how busy the North Atlantic is today. Four lows are spinning and three are producing hurricane-force gusts. It’s all eyes on the high building and expanding over Scandinavia as this will turn our flow easterly over the next 24 hours. These chilly easterly winds will pick up […]
In today’s post I wish to look at the solar cycle, it’s current position and also the last 18 years of early March global SST’s. There is some interesting trends and findings from this study and what I’ve learned from the last two winters which have had strikingly similar SST profiles and mean upper height anomalies. SST […]
When looking closely at the SSTA’s globally, it’s actually amazing to see just how alike early March this year is to last year at the same time and how similar the atmospheric setup is in response with extreme cold eastern US and continued unsettled theme over the UK, warm across much of Europe with a lack of blocking […]
It was an interesting weather day yesterday with nearly 6 inches of rain falling across the West Highlands with multiple road closures due to flooding and landslides while Northeast Ireland’s Co Down took the prize for UK warm spot so far. Here’s the scene along the closed A85 this morning following the deluge of the past […]
There’s a lot of moisture piling into the western side of Scotland today into tomorrow thanks to a near stalled front that’s being pushed back by a powerful ridge SE of the UK. The persistent and strong SSW flow is driving sub-tropical moisture into western upslopes and therefore enhancing the rainfall as well as driving the warmest […]
Recent Comments