United Kingdom & Ireland
Following a pretty benign September and 1st half to October, the pattern has shifted and come alive. The doldrums have gone and so too is the unusual warm, dry weather, replaced by record or near record rainfall on the west coasts of both N America and Europe. The below 2m temp anomaly for Oct 2021 […]
Based on my recent video and article regarding solar cycle and global SST response, you probably get the idea by now that the Pacific (PDO) has cooled (helped by the return of La Nina) and Atlantic is warm, very warm. The take home is this… There appears to be good linkage between solar and SST’s with […]
In this article I wish to focus on some interesting shifts in the global SST profile and what possible bearing this may have or have not on the approaching winter. Below is the global SST for around Oct 20th back to 2010. One aspect I wish to particularly hone in on is the cooling of […]
In my recent 2 part video on the pros and cons of the upcoming winter, I discussed the connection between solar maximums and minimums and behavior of the Arctic Oscillation and North Atlantic Oscillation (AO/NAO). To reinforce my point, here’s a great chart I regrettably didn’t show on the video, it the latest solar cycle chart […]
Through September 20th, the month has been incredibly warm and largely settled. Note in the below chart the stark west to east contrast though with a very chill NE Europe/NW Asia extending west into Scandinavia. For parts of Russia, Baltics and Finland, this may go down as one of the coolest September’s while it’s Britain’s […]
It’s been a pretty dry past few months for the UK and Ireland. I believe this can be directly attributed to the ongoing multi-year La Nina and so I thought I would take a quick and dirty glance back at past La Nina’s around and after a solar minimum. Here are the La Nina years […]
We have a big test coming up with regards to the solar minimum along with influences from the IOD, QBO, global SST’s, La Nina, MJO and even larger extent of Arctic sea ice compared to recent years. Last winter’s La Nina dissipated as expected during the past summer but appears to be returning in a […]
During the 2nd half of summer and 1st half of autumn, the tropics can play a pretty big role in determining Western Europe’s weather pattern. Especially when there is an uptick in Atlantic tropical cyclone activity and systems moving from low to mid latitudes. Tropical storms and or hurricanes which remain at sea and undergo […]
The same record breaking high which delivered unusually cool temps to Southern Britain to end August and meteorological summer shifted position from near Iceland to Germany then delivered the warmest September day to Ireland and Scotland since 1906, since 1961 for Wales and 2016 for England. The below pressure chart shows the set up with […]
On the heels of England’s coolest August maximum since 1986 (26.4C), our eyes will be watching the thermometer over the next few days as temperatures are expected to push 30C for the first time since July. What’s bringing the heat all of a sudden? Blame a shift in the same high which has dominated in […]
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