Winter 2015/16

Weakening El Nino And Seasonal Transition Means A Drier Pattern For Western Europe

Weakening El Nino And Seasonal Transition Means A Drier Pattern For Western Europe

Change is in the wind as we progress from winter and edge ever closer to summer 2016. I doubt the second half of spring 2016 (April-May) will be anywhere near as soggy as last year given the El Nino is weakening, not strengthening. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] We’re seeing the other side to this El Nino now with a drier, […]

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Next Big Storm Slams West Coast, Eastern Warmth Eases As Models Hint Snowstorm

Written by on March 13, 2016 in United States of America, Winter 2015/16 with 0 Comments
Next Big Storm Slams West Coast, Eastern Warmth Eases As Models Hint Snowstorm

After some brief respite, the next big system slams the West Coast today spreading wind, rain and heavy mountain snow in. Back on Thursday, San Francisco woke to this! Wow! To this today! (San Fran Intl Airport) Very nice visible satellite and infrared animation shows twin lows pushing into NA’s West Coast with rich moisture streaming into Northern California underneath. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] […]

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Great Winter Scenery From Sgùrr na h-Ulaidh, ‘Glencoe’s Hidden Corner’

Great Winter Scenery From Sgùrr na h-Ulaidh, ‘Glencoe’s Hidden Corner’

Well my friend Petr and I took off early once again Thursday morning (March 10th) for a trip up to Glencoe. It was a very different morning to back in February when we went from pouring rain in Cumbernauld to snowy conditions over Drumochter to white out conditions on Bynack More. Thanks to high pressure, this […]

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Mexico Snow, Southern Flash Flooding, Record Northeast Heat Captures Headlines This Week

Written by on March 12, 2016 in United States of America, Winter 2015/16 with 0 Comments
Mexico Snow, Southern Flash Flooding, Record Northeast Heat Captures Headlines This Week

It’s sure been a wild pattern thanks to a highly amplified, fuelled pattern and in March, you get the extremes. With the upper trough over Texas, you get the huge rains, further east, beneath the heat pump of the ridge, you get record ‘summer-like’ warmth! This week’s upper air pattern has been perfect for extreme weather and […]

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Europe: Springs Thoughts

Europe: Springs Thoughts

It’s an improving picture over the UK with today’s rain largely confined to NW Scotland tomorrow. It’s predominantly dry and bright for most, however the coolest air will be over London and the Southeast while the mildest air will be across Scotland thanks to high pressure centred north of Scotland which means cool easterly winds are pegging back […]

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El Nino Brought Record Rainfall To UK, Now Likely To Bring Prolonged Dry Pattern As It Weakens

El Nino Brought Record Rainfall To UK, Now Likely To Bring Prolonged Dry Pattern As It Weakens

Following the patchy light rains of today and across the Northwest tomorrow, high pressure is building and becomes well established over the British Isles early next week. This blocking high positioned across the UK and really extending all the way to Siberia is splitting the east bound trans-Atlantic jet, forcing one branch north into Norway and the other south into […]

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US: Record Warm Winter & March Day But Are We Done With Snow & Cold?

Written by on March 9, 2016 in United States of America, Winter 2015/16 with 0 Comments
US: Record Warm Winter & March Day But Are We Done With Snow & Cold?

Well it’s been more like late May or early June from DC up to Boston but this doesn’t mean winter is completely done just yet! Newark topped 82 today, warmest so early! What a difference a year makes for sure! Both EPS control and GFS ensemble see the return of colder times through the 2nd […]

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EUROPE: Drier, Blocky, Potentially Colder Pattern Becomes Established Next Week

EUROPE: Drier, Blocky, Potentially Colder Pattern Becomes Established Next Week

It’s been quite a different morning compared to yesterday across particularly the South of England. Clear sky and light wind started the day yesterday with Benson, Oxfordshire shivering at -7.1C. This morning, thanks to a deep low skirting the South Coast bringing coastal gales, heavy rain as well as some hill snow, it’s +7.7C at Benson. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Yesterday morning. This […]

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Extreme Amplification Equals Extreme Weather Across Lower 48

Written by on March 8, 2016 in United States of America, Winter 2015/16 with 0 Comments
Extreme Amplification Equals Extreme Weather Across Lower 48

We have an extreme pattern delivering extreme weather and a true upside down temperature profile for mid week. While there’s a +2 standard deviation from normal ridge off the East Coast, we have an extraordinary ‘6 standard deviation below normal’ cut off low dropping into Mexico tomorrow. That cold low could deliver unusual snowfall and record cold temps in […]

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Stormy Wednesday To Be Followed By Slow Warming Trend, 16C Possible By Weekend

Stormy Wednesday To Be Followed By Slow Warming Trend, 16C Possible By Weekend

Hope you enjoyed the crisp tranquillity of recent days over the UK because we have strong system heading southern UK/northern France bound tonight into tomorrow. This heralds change into the weekend and next week. For a while now, we’ve experienced colder air with frequent northerly flow. That however changes follow a spell of stormy weather tonight and […]

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