Winter 2014/15
Happy New Year everyone! The arctic door reopened early this week and so temps have been plummeting. Each morning, it’s gotten that bit colder further south as the near 1060 high migrated south. The core of the cold has been focused over the Rockies and Western Plains but this morning it’s reached all the way […]
In the video I said I wasn’t going to put up a written post today but since I’ll be taking tomorrow off, I thought I would throw up a few of my latest thoughts as we commence 2015. Firstly, today… New Years Day. Notice the mild feel? That’s thanks to a strong SW wind blowing […]
Just as the model showed from several days back, we’ve seen brutal cold along with snow reach the shores of the Mediterranean and Algeria in the last 12 to 24 hours. GFS from a few days ago. Setif, Algeria Palermo, Sicily Calabria, Italy Bari, Italy Further east and following heavy snowfall in the last few […]
The latest GFS 10mb temperature profile suggests a major event is ready to occur. By that I mean a sudden stratospheric warming as the model shows a complete 180 degree flip in the temperature profile over Greenland. The model takes apart the strong cold pool and develops a major warm pool where the core of the cold was within […]
It remains THEORY until it physically happens but the latest GFS projections look even better than the previous runs. If correct, it would appear a sudden stratospheric warming event is ready to occur with a 180 degree turn from strong cold pool to strong warm pool over Greenland within 10 days. TOP IMAGE: A stunning sunrise over […]
It’s 2.15am and been on the road much of the day so will make tonight’s post rather brief. In a nutshell, arctic air is back in the Lower 48 as predicted and watch in the coming days as the cold pool expands and deepens. Within the next 24 hrs, the GFS sends a rare 1058 to […]
We have a shift in the pattern now taking place with the return of milder westerlies and active Atlantic pattern just in time for New Year. This is removing the first proper ‘cold spell’ of winter and really of 2014 but without a -NAO this happens more often than not (short lived cold spells). The reason for this […]
We know the cold is coming but did you know that snow may fall in Las Vegas New Years Eve or Day? There’s good model agreement that snow will reach the LV Valley floor in the coming days and may even see Vegas end December with more snow than New York City. A record 3.5″ […]
Tonight looks likely to be the coldest of this current spell for the UK as high pressure becomes established overhead. Daytime max’s will struggle to get much above freezing from Birmingham northward. Where there’s snow cover, it will stay in the 0 to -2C range setting the stage for the coldest night of the winter and […]
The stage looks set early next week with all in place for some extreme cold in the West that will eventually push south and east. Snowfall has continued to pile up over the Rockies and West from Christmas through today. GFS suggests 1-3ft of snow cover widely into early next week. GFS also continues to show […]
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