Summer 2016
The El Nino of 2016 had significant influence on the boreal winter of 2015-16 and it’s influence is now extending into spring. However, the El Nino is on it’s way out and giving way to likely La Nina conditions by mid to late summer but the ground work of the decaying El Nino will have already shaped the upper atmosphere […]
The meteorological summer forecast 2016 is based upon past, present and projected SSTA (sea surface temperature anomaly) atmospheric conditions and ENSO (El Nino Southern Oscillation). [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Background Following a record tying strong El Nino which peaked in autumn 2015 and profoundly influenced the cold season of 2015-16, there is significantly weakening which will have affect on the summer. Expect to see […]
The El Nino continues to weaken and already this is strikingly evident against the shores of South America where waters are already turning cool-than-normal. Check out the warm water north of UK, very cold water over North Atlantic (known as cold blob) and this cooler than normal extends down along the Portugal, Morocco coasts. Current SSTA’s. Projected SSTA’s […]
Given the build-up of pressure specifically from Atlantic up over Greenland into the arctic at this time of year in response to tremendous strat warming event through late March, expect cooler than normal to rule through the rest of April over the UK and especially south into Iberia. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] This is a blocking pattern that will […]
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