Seasonal Forecasts
In today’s write-up I want to focus more on the upcoming week and the two spells of wet and windy weather. Be sure to check out the video for more on the longer term cold potential. Some would say it’s a rather boring week of typical British weather with mild, wet and windy and I […]
The air mass that’s ready to drop out of Canada sure means business. On the charts certainly but will it deliver the kind of severity we saw last early/mid-January when Green Bay hit 18 below, Chicago hit 16 below, Cleveland 9 below, Charlotte and Atlanta 6? Snow cover has increased significantly in the last 5 days from the 1st of […]
We’re looking at a chilly high pressure pattern to end the weekend and commence the new working year but it turns wet and increasingly windy mid week and particularly next weekend. There’s good cross model agreement that two lows will significantly impact Irish and British shores around Wednesday and late Friday after a frosty start to […]
Happy New Year everyone! The arctic door reopened early this week and so temps have been plummeting. Each morning, it’s gotten that bit colder further south as the near 1060 high migrated south. The core of the cold has been focused over the Rockies and Western Plains but this morning it’s reached all the way […]
In the video I said I wasn’t going to put up a written post today but since I’ll be taking tomorrow off, I thought I would throw up a few of my latest thoughts as we commence 2015. Firstly, today… New Years Day. Notice the mild feel? That’s thanks to a strong SW wind blowing […]
Just as the model showed from several days back, we’ve seen brutal cold along with snow reach the shores of the Mediterranean and Algeria in the last 12 to 24 hours. GFS from a few days ago. Setif, Algeria Palermo, Sicily Calabria, Italy Bari, Italy Further east and following heavy snowfall in the last few […]
The latest GFS 10mb temperature profile suggests a major event is ready to occur. By that I mean a sudden stratospheric warming as the model shows a complete 180 degree flip in the temperature profile over Greenland. The model takes apart the strong cold pool and develops a major warm pool where the core of the cold was within […]
It remains THEORY until it physically happens but the latest GFS projections look even better than the previous runs. If correct, it would appear a sudden stratospheric warming event is ready to occur with a 180 degree turn from strong cold pool to strong warm pool over Greenland within 10 days. TOP IMAGE: A stunning sunrise over […]
It’s 2.15am and been on the road much of the day so will make tonight’s post rather brief. In a nutshell, arctic air is back in the Lower 48 as predicted and watch in the coming days as the cold pool expands and deepens. Within the next 24 hrs, the GFS sends a rare 1058 to […]
We have a shift in the pattern now taking place with the return of milder westerlies and active Atlantic pattern just in time for New Year. This is removing the first proper ‘cold spell’ of winter and really of 2014 but without a -NAO this happens more often than not (short lived cold spells). The reason for this […]
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