Seasonal Forecasts
First and foremost, I’ve already admitted that winter or should I say January was far drier than I thought it would be for California. After all it was the driest January on record for San Francisco but let’s just watch as the rains pound the West Coast over the next 7-10 days! Looks a lot like a pineapple […]
While the Atlantic high builds and establishes over the UK and near continent of Europe, arctic air is being forced all the way into the western Med and North Africa where even the Spanish beaches are seeing snow. The coldest air of the season is now being felt across Iberia and the western Med. Infrared imagery via EUMETSAT shows […]
Based on current global/hemispheric/Pacific-North America pattern, current SST temp profile with central Pacific El Nino, strong east QBO and cold AMO signal, I agree with the cold outlook to spring in both the CFSv2 and Jamstec. CFSv2 remains with the extreme cold February in the Northeast. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] It stays cold into March and April. Jamstec for the […]
It’s looking like a cold spring is ahead for all of Western and indeed much of Europe with the exceptions of Iberia. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] The Jamstec looks correct based on the central Pacific El Nino, strong east QBO and cold water surrounding the UK with a rather negative or cold AMO signal. Be sure to watch […]
It’s been quite the 7-day spell for historic snowfall stretching from Chicago to Boston. Check out these stunning visible satellite images of the snow cover left behind by the twin storms. Northeast Chicago just saw it’s 5th biggest snowstorm on record. With over 16″, it was Detroit’s 3rd largest on record. The first big storm […]
As expected here since the weekend, radar is showing SNOW showers blowing through Greater London and the Southeast this morning producing a light covering for some. London this morning. Here was Wiltshire this morning. These strong northeast winds tend to be colder at this time of the year as North Sea waters are colder and it’s […]
While the storm begins to intensify over the Northeast with New England preparing for another blizzard and major snowfall, Chicago is left digging out from an epic 19.3″. Ranking as the city’s 5th largest on record. Snow Totals so far (as of 7am ET) via weather.com Connecticut – 4.5 inches in Milford – 4.4 inches in Danbury – […]
As a system pushes south over Scotland tonight, we expect another round of moderate, possibly heavy snow even to lower levels tonight. Be aware of this if your travelling, especially on higher road routes later tonight into Tuesday AM. Tough call as to whether we get the snow into Central areas. Models aren’t showing much along […]
The NWS has issued a Blizzard Warning for the Chicago Metro as the biggest storm of winter get’s cranking. It’s already a snowy scene across the region. This storm will be impressive as there’s a strong west to east baroclinic zone setting up with abundant Gulf moisture driving into some pretty cold air. High moisture amounts […]
In last night’s brief post I showed you the GFS end of the week ‘easterly’ solution. While a few dismissed this, lo and behold this is what the ECMWF is showing… [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Jet stream has wild amplification. Note it takes a route into arctic Scandinavia and then sweeps AROUND the ridge core positioned between […]
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