Seasonal Forecasts
In just the last 20 or so years, we have experienced some of the UK’s warmest, coolest, driest and wettest summers in recorded history. Here’s a look back at some of the most memorable summers since 1990. Information provided is from the Met Office. Hot spell August 1990 At the beginning of August 1990 there […]
Since yesterday’s post, NHC has upped the chance of 91L to 80% as it continues to slowly organise over the warm Gulf of Mexico. It’s likely to become Tropical Storm Bill and the seasons 2nd named storm prior to landfall sometime overnight Tuesday into Wednesday. It’s biggest threat remains flash flooding. Not just Texas! [s2If […]
Quick look back at last week’s anomalies across Europe. Cooler and drier than normal across the north but warmer than normal across the south, wetter, stormier from N Iberia into the Alps… This morning’s infrared satellite view which I explain more in the video! Check this out… the cold North Atlantic and therefore colder air […]
After a record wet May, the Houston NWS office received an impressive 6.71 inches of rain yesterday. That’s the biggest 24-hour rainfall total in over 5 years and there could be even worse to follow as 91L gathers to the south. The MJO pulse is crossing from east Pacific into the Gulf, hence the increase in convection around the […]
There’s no real chance to the overall idea for the upcoming work week. We’ve went from 27C two days ago down to 18C in and around London today. Cooler, cloudier and for some, wet as winds have turned to a NW direction. By the time we reach Wednesday, we’ll be back near 26C in the Southeast […]
As shown in today’s video, the upper pattern is beautifully mirroring the soil moisture content. By that I mean it’s warm where dry and cool and wet where wet. Warmer-than-normal water, dry ground combined with time of year means a strengthening SE or Bermuda ridge and it’s turning increasingly hot underneath. Check out the 7-day QPF, there’s a distinct ‘ring of […]
For much of May, the CFSv2 has had June as a drier than normal month for the UK and Ireland while wetter down into Iberia, so far, that appears to be a pretty good call based on the current setup and projected continuation of high pressure dominance. The CFSv2 weeklies show a dry 2nd half to June for […]
The pattern is becoming much more summer-like as we head for mid June. The Bermuda high is strong now and in a westward position allowing temps to climb into the 90s from North Florida to New York City. Rainfall in the open of June has been Southeast to Northeast focused but thanks to the strengthening […]
Tell me, where would you rather be today… London where it may top 27C or Summit Camp, Greenland where it’s currently -27C? Not a fan of the heat? Well you catch a break in the wake of today’s thunderstorms and persistent rains of tomorrow (across Wales and central swathe of England). MUCH cooler across Northern Ireland […]
Well it looks as though next week sees another spell of sustained fine, dry and settled weather throughout Ireland and the UK but there’s a temporary break on the way for this weekend. Before we get there, it’s warming up very nicely today. Highs maxed out at 23C over eastern Scotland yesterday and today we […]
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