Seasonal Forecasts
There’s no question, this week will be the warmest of the year and possibly in years throughout Western Europe as very hot air continues to build over the Spanish plateau. The influence of the low out over the Atlantic while eventually lift the blow torch conditions over Iberia northward through France and eventually covering the UK by Tuesday/Wednesday. Exactly […]
We’ve quite the contrasts across the country today with flooding rain and 60s over Pennsylvania and western New York (70s in DC, Philly & NYC) while it’s in the 90s for Seattle and Portland, 105-110 east of the Cascades. Current view from Greensburg, PA Monroe, MI Nashville, TN Las Vegas, NV [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] ECMWF surface chart shows […]
Just a short written post today as I’m on the road and due to a tooth extraction this morning, I won’t have a US video I’m afraid. Hope to have one tomorrow though! As your well aware, things are about to get darn hot throughout the Pacific Northwest this weekend with widespread heat records expected […]
The first appreciable surge of heat is heading UK bound next week as typically strong upper level high pressure migrates north from Morocco and Algeria into Spain and up over France, eventually reaching all of the UK by mid to later next week. GFS 500mb perspective. See how heights build northwards through next week. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Watch […]
The Pacific Northwest is gearing up for a potentially historic spell of hot weather this weekend on into next week while it’s the opposite for the Southeast as a result! It’s not just the Southeast but the Northeast will see a day or two at 15-20 below normal with highs in the upper 60s/low 70s, rare for […]
In the last 24 hours, there’s been an interesting shift in the models for next week. For several days, the models took the core of the heat into south-central Europe, however, the latest runs take the heat north further west and this signifies a very different outcome for the UK and Ireland next week. After […]
Following a warm, dry end to winter and start to spring, the later half has turned considerably cooler and wetter across Northwest Europe and this has taken us into summer. The most notable aspect to June 2015 will be the far cooler than normal temperatures. This can be largely be attributed to a much colder than normal North Atlantic. However, with the help of […]
We have significant pattern changes underway across the Lower 48 as the atmosphere responds to time of year, the strong El Nino in the Pacific and the increasing amplification of the MJO, a reaction of the El Nino. As we go from day 1-5 to the 6-10, heights sharply rise over the Northwest and in turn […]
The pattern is shifting as we head for the heart of the warm season with a much more El Nino-like upper atmosphere starting to show in the day 6-10. For those sweating over the Mid-Atlantic and Southeast, hang in there! As the Southwest heat ridge migrates north, a trough will drop over the Great Lakes into […]

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