Seasonal Forecasts
There’s a very distinct north-south boundary separating cold arctic air with mild subtropical air for both the United Kingdom as well as Europe. This gradient continues to fuel a very powerful jet that’s transporting system which have originated over North America, even the Pacific and this active, turbulent pattern looks set to stay. This morning, the below satellite view over […]
The major snow, ice and rain producer of the past few days is clearing the playing field, weakening as it pushes through the Southeast. In comes the next feature but this, while could bring a foot of snow to parts of the Plains, Upper Midwest, won’t have the same level of cold to work with. […]
It’s a rough Sunday across Ireland, UK and near continent from France to Norway as very strong, gusty winds affect millions along with heavy and frequent showers over particularly Northern Ireland, N England and Scotland. These showers have been particularly problematic when accompanied by gusts over 60 mph which have fallen as snow over Scotland leading to blizzard conditions. An area of […]
US: ‘Strong El Nino Pattern’ Very Evident Into December But More Northern Blocking January/February?
Now and on into next week, the strongly +AO/NAO will continue to drive a powerful and very zonal upper flow pattern around the mid-latitudes with an El Nino enhanced, hose-like southern branch that’s essentially pumping tropical energy northward into the middle latitudes. This means a continued active but largely mild pattern across North America. The GFS […]
Thanks to the abnormally mild, humid, cloudy SW flow through the first 20 days of the month, it looks as though the UK has seen a top 5 warm November. Helped by the fact we experienced both the warmest day (22C) and night (16C) on record. Warm, moist air with a lot of cloud cover means nights […]
Happy belated Thanksgiving to all my American subscribers and followers. Hope you’re enjoying the holidays with your friends and family. We’re now on Black Friday, that crazy time when everyone flocks to the stores to grab a great deal. For those who spent the night patiently waiting in line, outdoor conditions, as is often the case, widely […]
This years powerful El Nino is clearly influencing the global weather pattern as we approach winter with models distinctly showing a weak northern branch and much more pronounced southern branch. It’s also about as zonal of a flow pattern as you get. Notice how it’s strong and flat lined right around the northern hemisphere in the below GFS […]
Rather than writing individual write-ups for Europe and US today I wanted to share this interesting read from Dr Judah Cohen. He sheds detail on the Arctic Oscillation, where we’re at and where we may be heading…. This complies to Europe/North America and Globe. Below article source: http://www.aer.com/science-research/climate-weather/arctic-oscillation AER scientists provide researchers and enthusiasts real-time insights […]
Today is the busiest travel day of the year for the US on the eve of Thanksgiving. On the road today? Looks like a tricky drive if travelling west of the Mississippi but up and down the East Coast, your in luck. Big snows are now affecting the mountains of the West from Sierra to […]
Despite the ‘chilly’ conditions covering much of continental Europe and your typical ‘in between low pressure frosts’ over the UK, there’s consistency in the models for a mild, zonal December pattern not just for Europe but throughout the mid-latitudes of the hemisphere. The recent southward plunge of arctic air will gradually decay in the coming days as […]
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