Rest of Europe
It’s a rather snowy start to Hump Day across higher elevations of Scotland, Northern Ireland and N England as a cold front swept through overnight bringing the return of winter! TOP IMAGE CREDIT: Traffic Scotland [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] The main system, which actually came off southern Greenland progresses SSE over England in weakening and more showery from today, […]
Following a remarkably warm March 2012, we experienced the opposite in the following March which turned out to be the UK’s coldest in 50 years. All courtesy of a sudden stratospheric warming event which held a -AO/NAO throughout the month. March 2013 City Temp. Departure (Celsius) % Of Normal Precip London -1.5 205% Birmingham -2.9 132% Dublin -2.4 […]
On the meteorological calendar, we end winter today and commence spring tomorrow. Winter 2015-16 will be remembered not for it’s cold and snow but warm and wet. The bulk of the warmth came during December, coinciding with the likely peaking of this years record tying El Nino which overwhelmed the entire hemispheric pattern. Nov-Dec Although […]
Wouldn’t this be great to see in March following the UK’s 3rd warmest winter on record! [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Combine the above collapse of the PV projected by GFS ensemble above with the MJO entering phase 8 which gives this for March… and models day 5-10 show this… We cannot rule out an impressive cold spell, […]
As expected, a blocking high situated across the Northern UK has deflected Atlantic energy south and a deep Atlantic low is producing strong wind, low level rain and heavy snow across much of interior Spain. This low is dragging arctic air with it and as a result, today will probably be the coldest of winter […]
With a chilly but settled end to February, it looks as though meteorological winter’s final month will end up slightly below normal temperature wise. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] The ECMWF shows a nice blocky, chilly look next 5 days for UK and Western Europe. Interesting but not surprising, the blocking looks to hold day 5-10. Looking good for a continuation of […]
On Sunday, 21 February 2016, my friend Petr Kolegar and myself took off from a rainy Cumbernauld at 4am for the Cairngorms, despite a poor weather forecast, I wanted to experience what winter had to offer in the Scottish mountains. Without the experience and knowledge of Czech born, Petr, I would not have attempted this myself. We both knew […]
While meteorological winter may have been a disappointment, I am liking what I’m seeing for March. Stratospheric warming may finally become favourable for a sustained cold pattern across Europe with 50mb warming crossing over Greenland and core of vortex displaced into Scandinavia. Here’s the GFS ensemble 50mb NH temps. Check out the weakening and displacement of […]
This year’s record tying super El Nino significantly dominated at least the first half of the 2015-16 winter season. El Nino related or not, it was also another year with a positive North Atlantic Oscillation which has resulted in a warmer than normal December through February period. Lack of blocking has meant the Atlantic flow has ruled but as the […]
With high to the north and lows redirected to the south across France and Spain, we have a nice settled spell of winter weather. Bright sunny days, cold, frosty nights but the real focu of ‘weather’ will be southern France and Iberia this week into the weekend as a series of lows swing underneath the […]
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