Rest of Europe
Check this out… big flip with the newer run of the Jamstec for the June-August period. It’s now hinting at wetter than normal and solidly cooler than normal for the UK, Ireland and Western Europe but warmer than normal down over much of Iberia. It had the opposite back on April 1st. This now falls in line with […]
PATTERN SHIFT: High Pressure Bursts Late This Week And Gives Way To Low Pressure Dominance Next Week
It’s the start of a new work week and for most, the schools are back. This week starts as last week ended with high pressure continuing to dominate. Chilly starts with rural frosts gives way to a pleasantly comfortable bright or sunny afternoon. As the high sits almost directly overhead, so winds will be lighter than […]
The very dry pattern continues through the week ahead but change is on the way towards the end of the work week. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] Following a dry February-March and now April pattern (potentially one of the driest), I believe change coming in May but it’s actually when that change occurs to a wetter theme very […]
I am making more and more mention about this El Nino because it may become a major global player this summer into next winter. We’ve not had a strong nino in the last decade and a half and there’s increasing evidence suggesting that this could become strong. The PDO is very warm currently and thus this […]
The mid summer heat of yesterday is history as the boundary that’s been creeping south all week pushes into France today. The UK atmosphere is now back in one air mass once again. Despite sunshine, highs will, for most, fail to reach 20C in areas that were 24-25C at 4pm yesterday. [s2If current_user_can(access_s2member_level1)] The good […]
Back in March 2012 I was led into a false sense of security. After a disappointing winter 2011-12 which was unusually cold over Europe, was rather mild here in the UK. We ended up experiencing the warmest March on record here in Scotland with three straight days of all-time record warmth. Each day was warmer than […]
Tuesday will be a near carbon copy of Monday, persistent rain will stream into the western side of Scotland with high elevations capturing the bulk of the moisture leaving it much drier further east. But over West Highland recording stations, we could see rain totals mounting to 3, maybe 4″ over this soggy 48 hour […]
The much anticipated and rather dramatic NW to SE divide is setting up nicely as we commence the new week. A frontal boundary marking the northern flank of high pressure will drop south over Scotland later today and this will settle overhead for a couple of days making for a rather soggy affair for particularly the West Highlands. [s2If […]
We have a lot of interesting weather coming up this week and in the coming weeks. Starting with the upcoming 7 days, look for a big time north-south divide over the UK, especially as we enter the middle part of the week. Today’s wet and breezy system that’s even bringing snow back to high level […]
Latest run of the CFSv2 I think reflects well my UK summer idea but doesn’t for the rest of Europe. I have it warmer, drier into the South and Southwest (Iberia), cooler, wetter for the North (Scandinavia). Latest 700mb anomaly 2m temp anomalies. Rather than the warm, dry anticyclonic pattern of June-July 2013 and […]
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