Rest of Europe
After a lovely spell of fine, dry and pleasant early autumn weather with cool nights and warm days across Northwest Europe, the bubble has burst! That means low pressure is back and really where it belongs for the time of year. The storm track has shifted back north and the UK and Ireland can expect a […]
While conditions have been pleasantly tranquil across Northern Europe, it’s been turbulent across a broad swathe of the Mediterranean of late. A strong blocking high has re-dirtected the typical storm track south and when you’ve got cold core lows coming off a colder than normal Atlantic into a warm, humid sub-tropical region where a large body […]
In the last week, the upper pattern is been pretty much opposite of the summer with a blocking high across the north while low pressure has run underneath. The system which brought the flash flooding to parts of Spain last weekend is now crossing the Mediterranean producing very active weather over Sardinia, Sicily, Italy and eventually […]
While heat has been the main story throughout this summer across Europe, it’s storms that’s now taking centre stage. The upper air pattern is one similar to the last two July’s and opposite the past June-August period with strongest heights extending from the Atlantic across the UK into Scandinavia. Here’s the current upper setup. Lower heights […]
From Met Office The following represents an assessment of the weather experienced across the UK during Summer 2015 (June, July and August) and how it compares with the 1981 to 2010 average. Summer 2015 was mostly characterized by a cool, westerly Atlantic flow with the UK often under the influence of low pressure systems; eastern […]
Long range forecasting is often seen to be impossible and laughed at. However it’s predictable if you know what your looking for. Some years I struggle and get it wrong, other years like 2015, I get it right. The lessons learned from 2012 have certainly paid off this year. Right or wrong, here you get […]
High pressure has been talked about all week but because of this highly amplified, blocky pattern at the moment, the high and low over Denmark has been slow to moves east, therefore we’ve held onto that naggy northerly flow and frequent shower pattern longer. The good news is that we see a little more west-east […]
Well we’re now into September and as the summer sea ice melt season peaks, that’s usually around the time cold begins to regenerate over the high latitudes. Sure enough the next 10 days sees the strengthening of the polar vortex at 10pha over the pole. o hours 240 hours There appears to be changes happening […]
As we head into September I continue to watch the overall global pattern and the primary drivers. The El Nino is strong and influential to the global circulation, however as I’ve pointed out previously, there are competing factors which suggest there’s nothing obvious as of now. By that I mean we can’t just look at this […]

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